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WW stock faces profitability pressure from app and clinic declines - Morgan Stanley

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 07/26/2024, 04:28 PM
WW
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On Friday, Morgan Stanley adjusted its stance on WW International Inc (NASDAQ:WW) stock, moving from a bullish 'Overweight' to a neutral 'Equalweight' rating. The firm also reduced the price target significantly to $1.25 from the previous $6.50. The revision follows an analysis of current data suggesting potential challenges ahead for the company.

The company, known for its weight loss services, faces increasing competition from obesity medications, which could impact its primary business model based on behavioral dieting apps.

While WW International's Clinical segment shows rapid growth due to entering a new market, there is concern over whether this can sufficiently compensate for the declines in its core business.

Morgan Stanley's evaluation reflects a shift in the perceived balance between risk and reward for WW International, factoring in the company's high debt levels. Previously, the firm's outlook was optimistic, based on WW's competitive strengths within the GLP-1 telehealth space and its ability to scale rapidly while maintaining positive free cash flow.

However, recent data has indicated a downturn, with app downloads—a key indicator of the core business—falling by 16% year-over-year in the second quarter. Additionally, the Clinic's web traffic has seen a quarter-over-quarter decrease of 18%. These metrics have contributed to the reassessment of WW International's stock rating and price target.

In other recent news, Weight Watchers International has reported a robust Q1 2024, surpassing its guidance for clinical subscribers with 91,000 at the quarter's end. The company has also announced the appointment of Donna Boyer as the new Chief Product Officer.

Weight Watchers has provided a positive financial outlook for 2024, expecting total revenue between $830 million and $860 million, and an adjusted operating income of $100 million to $110 million. The company plans to focus on reducing leverage while maintaining a strong liquidity profile and expanding its clinical offerings and business-to-business strategy.

Weight Watchers also achieved a record-adjusted gross margin of 68% through cost discipline. The company has plans to expand care options, enhance program access, and enable more payment options.

Although the average revenue per user for the year is down mid-single-digit, the company's clinical subscriber growth exceeded expectations and member activation rates and retention improved.

The company is also contracting with insurance carriers for claim billing to make its services a covered benefit. These developments underscore the company's ongoing efforts to improve and expand its services.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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