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Wolfe Research sees Qiagen shares as 'undervalued', upgrades rating to outperform

Published 06/27/2024, 07:44 PM
QGEN
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On Thursday, Wolfe Research raised its rating on shares of Qiagen NV (NYSE:QGEN) to Outperform from Peer Perform, with a new price target of $50.00. This change follows the company's recent Capital Markets Day on June 17, where Qiagen's management presented strategies that bolstered analyst confidence in the company's growth potential.

Qiagen, known for its sample and assay technologies for molecular diagnostics, has been recognized for its sustainable business model, which includes a high percentage of recurring revenue, approximately 85%. The company has also been acknowledged for its strong market positions across multiple growth drivers and is not expected to face new competitors in the latent tuberculosis (TB) testing market in the near term.

The analyst noted that Qiagen's stock is currently trading at less than 20 times the next twelve months' (NTM) price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, which is more than a 5 times discount compared to its peers. This valuation is seen as an attractive entry point for investors, with limited downside risk.

Wolfe Research's updated outlook also includes raised estimates for Qiagen's performance beyond 2025, reflecting a greater conviction in the company's potential for robust growth and improved profitability. “We believe shares are undervalued and see a good opportunity to add at these levels without much downside risk", analyst noted.

The firm's analysis was influenced by the expectations set during Qiagen's recent Capital Markets Day, where management outlined a path to achieve over 7% organic growth and over 31% operating margin within the 2024-2028 time frame.

Qiagen's disciplined execution, including initiatives such as NeuMoDx, has been cited as a key factor in the company's ability to outperform its peers. The upgraded rating and price target reflect Wolfe Research's increased optimism about Qiagen's future financial performance.

In other recent news, QIAGEN N.V. reported mixed results in its Q1 2024 earnings call. The company saw a 5% decline in net sales, totaling $462 million, compared to the same period last year. However, the Diagnostic Solutions product group experienced a 5% growth, primarily driven by the QuantiFERON TB test and the QIAstat syndromic testing system. QIAGEN's adjusted earnings per share (EPS) for the quarter were $0.47, surpassing the expected $0.44.

Despite the decline in net sales, QIAGEN maintains its full-year 2024 outlook, projecting net sales of at least $2 billion and an adjusted EPS of at least $2.10. The company also announced plans to review strategic options for NeuMoDx and has scheduled a Capital Markets Day for June 17.

These are among the recent developments for QIAGEN, which continues to focus on organic investment, accretive acquisitions, and shareholder value. Analysts have noted the company's strong liquidity position, with $893 million at the end of Q1, and its positive outlook on margin improvements for 2024 and beyond.

InvestingPro Insights

Recent data from InvestingPro highlights Qiagen's (NYSE:QGEN) strategic financial health and market positioning. Notably, Qiagen's management has been actively repurchasing shares, a move often viewed as a signal of confidence in the company's future prospects. Additionally, the company has been recognized for its high shareholder yield, which, coupled with an adjusted P/E ratio of 24.75 as of the last twelve months leading into Q1 2024, suggests a robust value proposition for investors. Analysts have also revised their earnings estimates upwards for the upcoming period, reinforcing the positive outlook presented during Qiagen's Capital Markets Day.

Qiagen’s stability is further evidenced by its low price volatility and the ability of its cash flows to sufficiently cover interest payments. With a moderate level of debt and a profitable track record over the last twelve months, Qiagen appears well-positioned for sustained performance. Moreover, the company's gross profit margin stands strong at 66.1%, and its operating income margin at 22.75% reflects efficient operations. The InvestingPro Fair Value estimate of $40.85 aligns closely with the current price, suggesting that the stock is fairly valued in the current market.

For those looking to delve deeper into Qiagen's financials and future prospects, InvestingPro offers additional insights. There are 9 more InvestingPro Tips available, which can be accessed by visiting: https://www.investing.com/pro/QGEN. To enhance your investment analysis, use coupon code PRONEWS24 to get an additional 10% off a yearly or biyearly Pro and Pro+ subscription.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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