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US Bancorp stock under pressure with acquisition delay and weak payments fees

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 10/17/2024, 06:42 PM
USB
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On Thursday, JPMorgan maintained a Neutral stance on U.S. Bancorp (NYSE:USB) stock with a consistent price target of $48.00. The financial institution reported a mixed third-quarter earnings per share (EPS) of $1.03. The analysis highlighted several key points from the recent earnings call.

Initially, U.S. Bancorp expressed interest in acquiring a southeast bank to expand its national presence, but the CEO later indicated that current market conditions are not favorable for such a move. Despite this, the strategic goal remains to build a national branch network beyond digital expansion.

U.S. Bancorp, which entered the North Carolina market five years ago through organic growth, did not disclose specific financial details such as revenues, deposits, or costs related to this expansion. The company's strategy in this regard was not emphasized during its Investor Day.

In terms of expense management, the bank has managed to control cost increases, but the third quarter only saw a reduction in 'other expenses,' with no detailed explanation for this decrease.

The bank's fee trends are showing mixed results, with a notable weakness in its largest revenue segment, payment services. The need for stronger leadership in this area is evident as fees have grown at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 2.5% over the past decade.

On a positive note, U.S. Bancorp has experienced robust growth in its capital markets business, particularly in debt capital markets (DCM), although the company's long-term goals in this sector remain unclear.

Lastly, the analysis pointed out that U.S. Bancorp might experience a quicker benefit from interest rate cuts compared to its peers due to a significant portion of its deposits being indexed to institutional clients. However, it was noted that other banks are likely to catch up, and ultimately, deposit betas across the industry would align.

In other recent news, U.S. Bancorp has announced its third-quarter 2024 earnings, reporting a diluted earnings per share of $1.03 and total net revenue of $6.9 billion. Despite minor challenges, the company has shown growth in key areas, highlighting the resilience of its business model.

The company anticipates a stable net interest income of around $4.17 billion for the fourth quarter and a full-year net interest income at the higher end of the $16.1 billion to $16.4 billion range.

U.S. Bancorp has expressed confidence in meeting capital targets, emphasizing a focus on organic growth rather than large-scale mergers and acquisitions. The company is investing $2.5 billion annually in technology, including AI initiatives, and has established successful partnerships with State Farm and Edward Jones, leveraging digital capabilities.

In addition to these developments, U.S. Bancorp plans to initiate modest share buybacks. Despite slight decreases in average deposits and loans, the company has seen strong performances in trust and investment management, commercial products, and mortgage banking. These are the recent developments for U.S. Bancorp.

InvestingPro Insights

U.S. Bancorp's recent performance and strategic positioning are further illuminated by real-time data from InvestingPro. The bank's market capitalization stands at a robust $76.81 billion, reflecting its significant presence in the financial sector. With a P/E ratio of 15.65, U.S. Bancorp appears to be reasonably valued compared to industry standards.

InvestingPro Tips highlight U.S. Bancorp's strength as a dividend payer, having maintained dividend payments for 54 consecutive years and raised them for 13 years straight. This consistent dividend policy aligns with the bank's stable financial position mentioned in the article. The current dividend yield of 4.06% may be attractive to income-focused investors.

The bank's recent stock performance has been noteworthy, with a significant 27.48% price total return over the past six months. This uptick could be related to the bank's ability to control costs and its potential to benefit quickly from interest rate cuts, as discussed in the article.

For readers interested in a deeper dive into U.S. Bancorp's financials and prospects, InvestingPro offers 11 additional tips, providing a comprehensive view of the company's position in the banking industry.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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