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Travere stock still a buy despite phase 3 trial delay, says BofA

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 09/27/2024, 06:34 PM
TVTX
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On Friday, BofA Securities revised its price target for Travere Therapeutics (NASDAQ:TVTX) to $18.00, down from the previous $19.00, while reaffirming a Buy rating on the stock.

The adjustment follows the company's announcement that it is temporarily halting enrollment for its pegtibatinase phase 3 HARMONY trial due to manufacturing issues that are affecting the supply of the enzyme replacement therapy.

The company disclosed that these challenges have caused a delay in the trial and potential commercialization, with expectations to restart the trial no sooner than 2026. Despite acknowledging the delay as a setback for Travere's commercial portfolio, the firm anticipates that the impact on market sentiment will be limited.

This expectation is underpinned by two main factors: the program's value was already perceived as low by the market, and the company's assurance that the trial design and enrollment process are unlikely to be affected by the disruption.

Travere's management has emphasized that the current issues should not influence the trial's design and enrollment. The sell-side consensus had forecasted a peak value of $626 million for the program, indicating that the market had not placed significant value on it. This suggests that the financial community had already set modest expectations for the program's success.

The company's statement regarding the anticipated modest impact on near-term sentiment reflects a belief that the delay will not drastically alter the outlook for Travere Therapeutics. The firm's continued Buy rating indicates a positive long-term perspective on the stock, despite the current challenges faced by the company.

The market will be monitoring Travere's progress as it works to resolve the manufacturing issues and aims for a relaunch of the pegtibatinase phase 3 HARMONY trial. Investors will also be looking for any further updates from the company on how it plans to navigate through the delay and its strategies for maintaining the trial's integrity during this period.

In other recent news, Travere Therapeutics has temporarily halted enrollment in its Phase 3 HARMONY Study, which is evaluating pegtibatinase for the treatment of classical homocystinuria.

This decision was made to facilitate improvements in the manufacturing scale-up process, with enrollment expected to resume in 2026. Despite this, patients already enrolled in the study will continue to receive their medication from existing batches.

In a significant development, the company's drug Filspari has gained full FDA approval for the treatment of adult patients with primary Immunoglobulin A nephropathy, potentially leading to sales growth. Filspari sales reached $27.1 million in the second quarter of 2024, a 37% increase over the first quarter.

Analysts from Canaccord Genuity, Citi, and BofA Securities have maintained their Buy ratings on Travere Therapeutics, with Canaccord Genuity and Citi raising their price targets. These recent developments highlight a period of significant progress for Travere Therapeutics.


InvestingPro Insights


As Travere Therapeutics (NASDAQ:TVTX) navigates through its current challenges, real-time data from InvestingPro provides a deeper understanding of the company's financial health and stock performance. With a market capitalization of approximately $1.15 billion, Travere's stock has shown a significant price total return of 73.67% over the last year, indicating a strong performance despite recent setbacks. The company's revenue growth has been robust, with an increase of 47.42% over the last twelve months as of Q2 2024, and an even more impressive quarterly revenue growth of 68.08% in Q2 2024.

However, InvestingPro Tips suggest caution for potential investors. The stock is currently in overbought territory according to the Relative Strength Index (RSI), and the company's gross profit margins are weak, with a gross profit of negative $55.86 million over the last twelve months as of Q2 2024. Additionally, analysts do not anticipate Travere will be profitable this year, and the company has been operating at a loss, reflected by an operating income margin of -178.02% over the same period.

For those interested in a more detailed analysis, InvestingPro offers additional tips, with the current count listing 14 tips available to help investors make informed decisions. These tips, along with real-time metrics and fair value estimates, can be found by visiting https://www.investing.com/pro/TVTX, providing a comprehensive view of Travere's financial landscape and investment potential.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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