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TD Cowen revises Cerence shares target, cites challenges and restructuring efforts

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 05/10/2024, 06:14 PM
CRNC
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On Friday, TD Cowen updated its assessment of Cerence Inc . (NASDAQ:CRNC) shares, a company specializing in AI-driven solutions for the automotive industry.

The firm's analyst adjusted the price target for Cerence's shares to $12.00, a significant decrease from the previous $27.00 target. Despite this change, the firm maintained a Buy rating on the company's stock.

Cerence recently reported a set of financial results and projections that did not meet expectations, influenced by several factors including the timing of license revenue recognition, delays in the start of production (SOP) for high per-unit price (PPU) vehicles, and some loss of market share.

The company believes that its new AI platform has the potential to regain the lost market share. Since the Consumer Electronics Show (CES), Cerence has secured six new contracts, which is a positive development, but growth for the year 2025 is anticipated to be in the mid-single digits. The company expects that the impact of these new wins will be more pronounced in 2026 and onwards.

In response to these challenges, Cerence is undergoing a restructuring process aimed at reducing costs. The lowered price target reflects these recent developments and the company's near-term outlook.

The statement from TD Cowen highlighted the company's belief in its ability to recover lost ground with the introduction of its new AI platform.

The analyst remarked, "CRNC posted a challenging set of results and outlook driven by timing of license revenue, delayed SOPs of high PPU vehicles and some market share losses that they feel their new AI platform can win back. 6 wins announced since CES is encouraging, but '25 growth looks mid single digits as new wins would ramp in '26 and beyond. Restructuring is underway to lower costs. We lower our PT $12 from $27."

InvestingPro Insights

As Cerence Inc. (NASDAQ:CRNC) faces headwinds in the automotive industry, real-time data and insights from InvestingPro provide a deeper understanding of the company's financial health and stock performance. According to InvestingPro data, Cerence has a market capitalization of $261.72 million and is trading at a low Price / Book multiple of 0.56, indicating that the stock may be undervalued relative to its book value. Despite a revenue growth of 16.49% over the last twelve months as of Q2 2024, the stock has experienced a significant price drop, with a one-year total return of -72.7%.

InvestingPro Tips suggest that while the company's net income is expected to grow this year, the stock is currently in oversold territory based on the RSI indicator. This could signal a potential rebound opportunity for investors. Additionally, Cerence's liquid assets exceed its short-term obligations, which could provide some financial stability in challenging times. For investors seeking more in-depth analysis, there are additional InvestingPro Tips available at https://www.investing.com/pro/CRNC, and using the coupon code PRONEWS24 grants an extra 10% off a yearly or biyearly Pro and Pro+ subscription.

These insights may help investors to gauge the company's future profitability and consider the timing of their investment decisions as Cerence continues to adjust its strategy and capitalize on its new AI platform.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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