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TD Cowen reduces ULTA shares price target, maintains Hold rating

Published 10/03/2024, 08:52 PM
ULTA
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TD Cowen has adjusted its outlook on ULTA Beauty (NASDAQ: ULTA), reducing the price target to $390 from the previous $395, while maintaining a hold rating on the stock.

The firm's analysis highlighted concerns over the company's profit margins in the face of a decelerating category and increasing competition.

The revised price target follows a recent downgrade of ULTA's stock rating to hold, after a period of significant price increases.

TD Cowen's assessment points to challenges such as heightened competition from rivals like Sephora and Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN), as well as increased promotional activity within the sector.

Despite the cut in the price target, some investors remain positive, valuing ULTA's market position and structural benefits. These include the company's successful loyalty program and its expertise in real estate management, which continue to be seen as strong points for ULTA Beauty.

In other recent news, Wells Fargo has exhibited optimism towards Fair Isaac (NYSE:FICO) Corporation, predicting a significant increase in its scores prices across mortgage, auto, and card sectors.

The firm also anticipates a favorable fourth quarter for Las Vegas Sands (NYSE:LVS) Corp., citing strategic positioning and the upcoming opening of the Londoner casino. Meanwhile, TC Energy (NYSE:TRP) Corporation is expected to command the highest multiple in the midstream sector post-spinout of its Liquids business.

On the other hand, Wells Fargo maintains an Underweight rating on Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA), Inc., citing potential declines in delivery growth and auto gross margin. ULTA Beauty, Inc. also faces potential challenges according to TD Cowen and B.Riley, with increased competition and margin pressures possibly impacting its future performance.

Myriad Genetics (NASDAQ:MYGN) reported second-quarter revenues of $211.5 million, surpassing consensus expectations, and raised its guidance for 2024 to an estimated $835-845 million. The genetic testing provider is expected to see double-digit growth, aided by recent exits of competitors and revenue cycle management initiatives.

Analyst firms including Wolfe Research, Scotiabank, Jefferies, and TD Cowen responded positively to these developments, raising their price targets for Myriad Genetics.

Loop Capital adjusted the stock price target for ULTA Beauty to $450 from the previous $520, maintaining a Buy rating despite weaker-than-expected financial results for the second quarter of fiscal year 2024. Similarly, DA Davidson lowered its price target for ULTA Beauty from $507.00 to $435.00 but maintained a Buy rating on the company's stock.

InvestingPro Insights

Recent data from InvestingPro sheds additional light on ULTA Beauty's financial position and market performance. The company's market capitalization stands at $17.62 billion, with a P/E ratio of 14.93, indicating a relatively modest valuation compared to some high-growth retail stocks. This aligns with TD Cowen's cautious stance and hold rating.

InvestingPro Tips highlight that ULTA operates with a moderate level of debt and its liquid assets exceed short-term obligations, suggesting a stable financial foundation despite industry headwinds. This financial stability could provide a buffer as the company navigates the competitive pressures noted in the analyst report.

However, it's worth noting that ULTA's stock has taken a significant hit over the last week, with a 1-week price total return of -7.94%. This recent downturn may reflect the market's reaction to concerns about profit margins and increased competition, as mentioned in TD Cowen's analysis.

For investors seeking a more comprehensive analysis, InvestingPro offers 8 additional tips for ULTA Beauty, providing deeper insights into the company's financial health and market position.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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