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SITE Centers stock may face underestimated pressure after spin-off, says KeyBanc

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 10/07/2024, 03:50 PM
SITC
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On Monday, KeyBanc adjusted its rating on SITE Centers Corp. (NYSE: NYSE:SITC) stock, moving from Overweight to Sector Weight after the recent spin-off of Curbline Properties on October 1.

The firm anticipates that SITE Centers will persist in its strategy of selling assets, with the primary aim of using the proceeds to repay outstanding debt. Any remaining funds are expected to be distributed to shareholders.

Following the structural change, KeyBanc has revised its forecasts for SITE Centers, updating the 2024 and 2025 funds from operations (FFO) estimates, as well as the net asset value (NAV) estimate to reflect the impact of the spin-off. The adjustment in rating comes as a direct response to the company's strategic shift post-separation from Curbline Properties.

SITE Centers' strategy post-spin-off is to prioritize debt repayment from the proceeds of asset sales. This move is seen as a rebalancing effort after the company separated from Curbline Properties earlier in the month. The financial institution expects that after addressing the debt, any surplus from asset disposals will be allocated to investors.

Concurrent with the downgrade of SITE Centers, KeyBanc has also initiated coverage of Curbline Properties. Details of this initiation, including analysis and expectations for the newly independent entity, have been provided by KeyBanc in a separate coverage report.

This new coverage follows the recent corporate reorganization and is intended to provide investors with insights into the prospects of both companies following the spin-off.

The rating change reflects KeyBanc's assessment of SITE Centers' current position and future financial strategy in light of the recent corporate developments. The firm's updated analysis and estimates aim to offer a comprehensive view of SITE Centers' potential performance in the coming years.

In other recent news, SITE Centers Corp. has been undertaking significant transactions, including the sale of 13 properties for a total of $714.3 million as well as the acquisition of six convenience shopping centers for $111.2 million.

This activity is part of the company's preparation for the spin-off of Curbline Properties Corp., which is expected to be endowed with $600 million in cash, a $400 million undrawn line of credit, and a $100 million term loan.

SITE Centers shareholders are set to receive two shares of Curbline common stock for every share they own, with the distribution scheduled for October 1, 2024.

In anticipation of the spin-off, SITE Centers has made significant changes to its board, reducing its size from eight to five members. Analysts from firms such as JPMorgan and Piper Sandler have adjusted their stock price targets for SITE Centers, reflecting the company's ongoing transition towards its CURB strategy. The company's portfolio, less reliant on small shops and local businesses, may offer resilience compared to its peers, according to these analysts.

SITE Centers has also reported its second-quarter earnings of 2024, maintaining an Overweight rating from KeyBanc. In preparation for the spin-off, SITE Centers shareholders are set to receive two shares of Curbline common stock for every one share of SITE Centers they own. These recent developments highlight SITE Centers' strategic moves in managing its portfolio and preparing for the spin-off of Curbline Properties.

InvestingPro Insights

SITE Centers Corp. (NYSE: SITC) has recently undergone significant changes, and InvestingPro data provides additional context to KeyBanc's analysis. The company's current market capitalization stands at $911.07 million, reflecting its size post-spin-off. Despite the recent corporate restructuring, SITE Centers maintains a strong dividend yield of 11.96%, which aligns with KeyBanc's expectation that surplus funds from asset sales may be distributed to shareholders.

InvestingPro Tips highlight that SITE Centers has maintained dividend payments for 32 consecutive years, demonstrating a long-term commitment to shareholder returns. This track record could be reassuring for investors concerned about the company's future dividend policy following the spin-off.

The company's Price to Book ratio of 0.42 suggests that SITE Centers is trading below its book value, which may indicate potential undervaluation. This metric, combined with the InvestingPro Tip that the stock is trading at low valuation multiples, could be of interest to value investors analyzing the company's post-spin-off prospects.

It's worth noting that InvestingPro offers 21 additional tips for SITE Centers, providing a more comprehensive analysis for investors looking to delve deeper into the company's financial health and market position following these recent strategic changes.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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