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Roth/MKM sees Epsilon Energy stock undervalued, highlights strong capital returns

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 10/01/2024, 05:54 PM
EPSN
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On Tuesday, Epsilon Energy Ltd (NASDAQ:EPSN) stock received a Buy rating from Roth/MKM, with a set price target of $7.00. The firm highlighted the company's consistent capital returns to shareholders as a key reason for the positive outlook.

Epsilon Energy's track record includes significant share repurchases and dividend payments over the past few years, which Roth/MKM believes the market has yet to fully appreciate.

The analyst from Roth/MKM pointed out that Epsilon Energy has a history of rewarding its investors, which is evident from its financial activities. In 2022, the company repurchased $6.2 million worth of shares and distributed $5.9 million in dividends, culminating in a total shareholder return of $12.1 million.

The following year, the company continued its shareholder-friendly moves by buying back shares worth $4.9 million and paying out $5.6 million in dividends, amounting to a total return of $10.5 million.

For the current year, Epsilon Energy has already bought back $1.2 million of shares and is projected to pay approximately $5.5 million in dividends. This would result in a total shareholder return of $6.7 million. Roth/MKM used these figures to underscore the company's commitment to returning value to its shareholders.

The aggregate of capital returned to shareholders from 2022 to the present is estimated at $29.3 million. This sum represents a substantial 24% of the company's recent market capitalization, according to Roth/MKM's analysis. The firm's valuation is based on a detailed examination of the net asset value (NAV) of Epsilon Energy's exploration and production segment, coupled with the cash flow from its Midstream operations.

The analyst's statement emphasized the attractiveness of Epsilon Energy's shares, considering the company's financial strategies and their execution. By focusing on the actual returns provided to shareholders, Roth/MKM presents a case for the market to re-evaluate the company's value.

In other recent news, Epsilon Energy Ltd. reported mixed results for the second quarter of 2024. The company's Permian assets performed robustly, accounting for half of the quarter's revenue and three-quarters of its cash flow.

Despite some wells being offline for a period, the Permian business is projected to experience a sequential increase in volumes for the sixth consecutive quarter. Conversely, the Marcellus operations saw decreased revenues and volumes due to natural declines and continued curtailments.

In the midst of these developments, Epsilon Energy remains optimistic about the future. The company anticipates significant volume and cash flow growth in 2025, bolstered by its strong liquidity position and new business development efforts.

It also foresees a potential uplift from curtailed volumes and deferred Turn-In-Line operations, which could more than double the current net production.

Epsilon Energy is actively exploring new opportunities for capital deployment, particularly in Canada. These are the recent developments in the company's operations.

InvestingPro Insights

Building on Roth/MKM's positive outlook for Epsilon Energy Ltd (NASDAQ:EPSN), recent data from InvestingPro provides additional context to the company's financial health and market performance. As of the latest available data, EPSN boasts a market capitalization of $128.04 million, with a P/E ratio of 24.19, indicating investor confidence in the company's earnings potential.

InvestingPro Tips highlight EPSN's strong financial position, noting that the company "holds more cash than debt on its balance sheet" and "liquid assets exceed short-term obligations." These factors align with the analyst's emphasis on Epsilon's ability to consistently return capital to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases.

Furthermore, EPSN's stock is "trading near its 52-week high," with a current price at 97.67% of its 52-week peak. This performance is reflected in the company's impressive year-to-date total return of 19.67%, surpassing many market benchmarks. The company also offers a dividend yield of 4.27%, supporting the analyst's view on shareholder returns.

For investors seeking a deeper dive into Epsilon Energy's financials and market position, InvestingPro offers 6 additional tips and a comprehensive set of real-time metrics, providing valuable insights for informed decision-making.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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