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JPMorgan reiterates neutral rating on Citi shares, sees mixed financial picture

EditorNatashya Angelica
Published 10/16/2024, 10:18 PM
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On Wednesday, JPMorgan reiterated its Neutral rating on Citi (NYSE:C) shares, maintaining a price target of $71.50. The financial institution's third-quarter earnings per share (EPS) came in at $1.51, presenting a mixed financial picture. Citi's return on tangible common equity (RoTCE) remained approximately 7%, showing little change quarter over quarter and year over year.

The bank is actively addressing regulatory issues and focusing on efficiency improvements and revenue growth. During the earnings conference call, concerns were raised regarding the potential impact of additional orders from regulators and a letter from Senator Warren suggesting growth restrictions. Despite these challenges, Citi's CEO expressed confidence that these actions would not affect the company's operations.

Citi's Services segment exhibited the strongest performance, with significant earnings growth. However, the credit cards and U.S. Personal Banking sectors showed moderate results. The bank's third-quarter growth did not match that of its peers, primarily due to the Retail Services cards segment.

Investment banking fees at Citi saw substantial year-over-year growth, but the Markets revenues did not keep pace with competitors, displaying mixed trends in core efficiency ratios. The Wealth segment made some progress, raising questions about whether growth was driven by deposit rate cuts, especially for Citigold clients.

Finally, the bank is progressing with the initial public offering (IPO) plans for Banamex. However, the process may face delays or result in lower-than-expected gains due to the current low valuations of Mexican banks. Additionally, Citi anticipates a modest quarter-over-quarter increase in net credit losses on credit cards, along with a slight seasonal rise in delinquencies.

In other recent news, Citigroup Inc (NYSE:C). demonstrated robust financial health in its recent earnings release, reporting a net income of $3.2 billion and a 3% year-over-year revenue growth. This performance was largely driven by strong results across all five business segments, particularly in services and investment banking. The bank's full-year revenue expectations are estimated between $80 billion to $81 billion.

Evercore ISI has adjusted its price target for Citigroup, raising it slightly to $64.00. This adjustment came after the bank delivered strong results and confirmed its full-year 2024 guidance. Despite the positive performance, there were concerns about Citigroup's ability to meet its medium-term return objectives and the potential impact of regulatory issues.

Citigroup returned $2.1 billion to shareholders, including $1 billion in share repurchases. The bank's CET1 ratio was reported at 13.7%, exceeding the 12.1% requirement, showcasing a solid capital position. The bank has seen share gains in capital markets this quarter and is developing a strong pipeline, signaling optimism for a broader recovery in capital markets.

These are among the recent developments for Citigroup, as the bank continues its transformation strategy focusing on efficiency and performance improvements, while navigating the changing macroeconomic landscape. The bank's CFO, Mark Mason, spoke about a shift towards a more normalized environment, which would facilitate a path to higher returns. This positions Citigroup as a "show-me" story, with the market waiting to see evidence of progress.

InvestingPro Insights

Citi's financial landscape, as highlighted by InvestingPro data, offers additional context to the JPMorgan analysis. The bank's market capitalization stands at $118.47 billion, with a P/E ratio of 19.05, reflecting its current valuation. Notably, Citi's revenue for the last twelve months as of Q3 2024 was $69.31 billion, with a slight decline of 3.69% year-over-year, aligning with the mixed financial picture described in the article.

InvestingPro Tips reveal that Citi is a prominent player in the banking industry and has maintained dividend payments for 14 consecutive years, underscoring its stability despite the challenges mentioned. The dividend yield of 3.58% and a dividend growth of 9.8% in the last twelve months may appeal to income-focused investors. Moreover, Citi's high return over the last year, with a one-year price total return of 59.31%, suggests resilience in the face of regulatory and operational challenges.

These insights complement the article's discussion on Citi's performance across various segments and its ongoing efforts to address regulatory issues while focusing on efficiency and growth. For readers seeking a more comprehensive analysis, InvestingPro offers 8 additional tips for Citi, providing a deeper dive into the company's financial health and prospects.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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