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HSBC upgrades Morgan Stanley stock as 'underperformance nears an end'

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 10/04/2024, 04:14 PM
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On Friday, HSBC upgraded Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS) stock from Hold to Buy, setting a price target of $118.00. The firm noted that Morgan Stanley's stock has significantly underperformed compared to Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS) and the broader market since 2021, but the trend may be shifting.

HSBC highlighted Morgan Stanley's strong investment banking and wealth management divisions, which are expected to continue benefiting from a favorable market environment, thus enhancing the company's financial performance.

The analyst from HSBC also addressed concerns regarding net interest income (NII), which they believe are exaggerated given Morgan Stanley's robust fee-based asset flows and the accelerating growth in management fees within its Wealth Management sector. This perspective suggests confidence in the firm's revenue-generating capabilities despite previous worries.

HSBC's outlook for Morgan Stanley is turning more positive as the analyst believes that the downward revisions in earnings that have led to a multi-year underperformance and negative sentiment among analysts have reached an endpoint. The firm's assessment indicates an anticipation of stabilization or improvement in Morgan Stanley's earnings.

The upgrade reflects HSBC's belief in Morgan Stanley's potential to outperform, even as it rates both Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs as Buy. The preference for Morgan Stanley is described as modest, yet it indicates a shift in favor of the financial giant's stock amidst the current market conditions.

HSBC's new price target of $118.00 for Morgan Stanley represents a notable increase, indicating a positive outlook for the stock's future performance. The upgrade is based on the assessment of various factors, including the company's investment banking and wealth management strengths, as well as an improved earnings forecast.

In other recent news, French President Emmanuel Macron has been holding discussions with top Wall Street executives, including Goldman Sachs President John Waldron and Blackstone (NYSE:BX) CEO Stephen Schwarzman, concerning potential tax increases and France's fiscal challenges. Macron emphasized France's attractiveness as an investment destination and discussed expanding business opportunities despite fiscal concerns.

Meanwhile, AI startup OpenAI has secured a $4 billion credit facility, backed by a consortium of banks including JPMorgan Chase (NYSE:JPM), Citi, and Goldman Sachs. This development comes shortly after the company's announcement of a $6.6 billion investment, further bolstering its financial resources for research and development in the artificial intelligence sector.

Goldman Sachs has also been in the spotlight for issuing a new Series Y Preferred Stock, which has resulted in amendments to the rights of its security holders and modifications to its articles of incorporation. The company's recent filing with the SEC provides shareholders and potential investors with detailed information regarding the new preferred stock and its implications on existing securities.

Furthermore, Goldman Sachs, along with Alphabet (NASDAQ:GOOGL) Inc. and several other prominent companies, has agreed to pay a total of $3.8 million in penalties to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) for failing to make timely filings. The penalties are part of the SEC's enforcement actions targeting delays in disclosures by corporations and executives.

Lastly, major banks, including Goldman Sachs and J.P. Morgan, predict a continued rally in gold prices into 2025. This is driven by renewed inflows into exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and anticipated further interest rate cuts by key central banks, including the U.S. Federal Reserve.

InvestingPro Insights

While HSBC's upgrade focuses on Morgan Stanley, it's worth noting some key insights about Goldman Sachs, its peer in the financial sector. According to InvestingPro data, Goldman Sachs currently has a market capitalization of $160.95 billion and trades at a P/E ratio of 15.45, suggesting a relatively attractive valuation compared to its earnings.

InvestingPro Tips highlight that Goldman Sachs has been aggressively buying back shares and has raised its dividend for 12 consecutive years, demonstrating a commitment to returning value to shareholders. This aligns with the positive sentiment expressed in HSBC's analysis of the financial sector.

Moreover, Goldman Sachs is noted as a prominent player in the Capital Markets industry, which supports HSBC's view on the favorable market environment benefiting investment banking activities. The company's strong return over the last year, as mentioned in the InvestingPro Tips, further reinforces the sector's positive momentum that HSBC discusses in their upgrade of Morgan Stanley.

For investors seeking a deeper understanding of Goldman Sachs' financial health and market position, InvestingPro offers 12 additional tips, providing a comprehensive analysis to inform investment decisions in this dynamic financial landscape.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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