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Costco shares target raised by TD Cowen with Buy rating

Published 09/30/2024, 09:34 PM
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TD Cowen has showed confidence in Costco Wholesale (NASDAQ:COST), revising its price target upward to $975 from the previous $925.

The firm retains a Buy rating on the stock. The adjustment comes in light of Costco's strong performance, characterized by a notable increase in US traffic and improvements in gross margins.

Costco's recent success has been attributed to several key factors. The company experienced a 5.6% rise in US customer traffic and a 44 basis points enhancement in gross margins.

The positive developments were highlighted by the company's commitment to providing value, expanding customer purchase sizes through product innovation, and increasing its appeal to younger members.

The analyst from TD Cowen pointed out that Costco's gross margin benefits were driven by its growing digital presence and profitable gas sales, which helped balance out the increased expenses in selling, general, and administrative (SG&A) wages. These investments in wage improvements are part of the company's broader strategy to enhance its workforce's satisfaction and efficiency.

Furthermore, Costco's strong membership renewal rates have been termed "sticky," indicating a loyal customer base. The company's vertical integration and a more pronounced focus on technology are also seen as catalysts for sustained momentum. These elements, according to the analyst, support a forward-looking price-to-earnings (P/E) valuation of 50 times for the second fiscal year.

In other recent news, Costco Wholesale Corporation (NASDAQ:COST) has reported a 9% increase in net income to $2.354 billion and a 1% rise in net sales to $78.2 billion in its Fourth Quarter 2024 Earnings Call.

The company also experienced a significant 18.9% increase in e-commerce sales. Furthermore, Costco plans to open 29 new warehouses in fiscal 2025, expanding both domestically and internationally.

Evercore ISI has affirmed its Outperform rating on Costco, maintaining a price target of $985.00. The firm has emphasized Costco's robust business model and recent membership fee increase as strategies expected to accelerate EBITDA growth. BofA Securities has also increased its price target for Costco to $972, highlighting the company's potential for market share expansion amidst rising consumer prices.

In light of recent developments, Costco is making significant strides in the market despite potential disruptions due to stalled labor talks between the International Longshoremen's Association and the United States Maritime Alliance.

InvestingPro Insights

Costco's strong performance, as highlighted in the article, is further supported by recent InvestingPro data. The company's market capitalization stands at an impressive $392.44 billion, reflecting its dominant position in the Consumer Staples Distribution & Retail industry. Costco's revenue for the last twelve months reached $254.45 billion, with a growth rate of 5.02%, aligning with the article's mention of increased US traffic and expanded customer purchase sizes.

InvestingPro Tips reveal that Costco has maintained dividend payments for 21 consecutive years, demonstrating its financial stability and commitment to shareholder returns. This consistency aligns with the "sticky" membership renewal rates mentioned in the article. Additionally, the company's high return over the last year, with a 1-year price total return of 61.34%, supports TD Cowen's bullish outlook.

However, investors should note that Costco is trading at a high P/E ratio of 54.43, which is in line with TD Cowen's forward-looking P/E valuation of 50 times. This high valuation suggests that the market has already priced in much of the company's strong performance and future expectations.

For readers interested in a deeper analysis, InvestingPro offers 13 additional tips for Costco, providing a more comprehensive view of the company's financial health and market position.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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