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BofA upgrades Steel Dynamics shares to Buy rating

Published 10/01/2024, 07:54 PM
STLD
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BofA Securities showed a positive shift in perspective on Steel Dynamics (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:STLD), upgrading the stock from Neutral to Buy. Accompanying this upgrade, the firm also increased its price target for the company's shares to $155.00, up from the previous target of $140.00.

The upgrade was motivated by anticipated benefits from Steel Dynamics' Sinton and Aluminum Dynamics projects. The analyst's reevaluation included advancing the valuation basis by one year and a modest rise in the expected 2025 hot-rolled coil (HRC) prices.

Steel Dynamics is expected to reap relatively more significant benefits from the higher HRC and coated steel prices compared to its peers. The company's aluminum rolling mill project also sets it apart from competitors, contributing to the analyst's optimistic outlook.

The company's strategic initiatives, such as the Sinton facility in Texas and its venture into aluminum with the Aluminum Dynamics project, appear to be key factors in the revised rating and price target. These projects are expected to enhance Steel Dynamics' market position and financial performance in the coming years.

In other recent news, Steel Dynamics has seen several significant developments. The company's third-quarter earnings per share (EPS) guidance of $1.94-$1.98, a decrease from the second quarter's EPS of $2.72, led BMO Capital to adjust its price target for the company to $127 from $135 while retaining a Market Perform rating. However, BofA Securities maintained a neutral stance on the company, keeping its price target steady at $140.00.

These adjustments came as Steel Dynamics reported a consistent fabrication order backlog, indicating stability in the company's future. The company also anticipates an increase in volumes for 2025 due to declining interest rates and the influence of infrastructure programs and reshoring initiatives.

JPMorgan revised its stance on Steel Dynamics, upgrading the stock rating from Underweight to Neutral, reflecting a more favorable view of the company's diversified operations. The company also declared a third-quarter dividend of $0.46 per share, demonstrating its commitment to shareholder value.

Steel Dynamics has made progress with its aluminum investments, expecting to turn EBITDA positive in the latter half of 2025.

Despite a decline in steel pricing, the company remains optimistic about steel demand and sees strong market potential in Mexico for high-value products.

InvestingPro Insights

To complement BofA Securities' bullish outlook on Steel Dynamics (NASDAQ:STLD), recent data from InvestingPro provides additional context for investors. The company's market capitalization stands at $19.45 billion, with a P/E ratio of 9.98, indicating a potentially undervalued stock relative to earnings. This aligns with the analyst's optimistic price target revision.

InvestingPro Tips highlight Steel Dynamics' strong shareholder focus. The company has been aggressively buying back shares and has raised its dividend for 11 consecutive years, demonstrating a commitment to returning value to shareholders. This consistent dividend growth, coupled with a current dividend yield of 1.46%, supports the stock's attractiveness for income-oriented investors.

Despite a revenue decline of 11.27% in the last twelve months, Steel Dynamics maintains a solid financial position. The company's ability to cover interest payments with cash flows and its operation with moderate debt levels suggest financial stability, which could be crucial as it pursues growth projects like the Sinton facility and Aluminum Dynamics.

For investors seeking a deeper understanding of Steel Dynamics' potential, InvestingPro offers 11 additional tips, providing a comprehensive analysis to inform investment decisions.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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