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BMO cuts Ingevity stock target on growth concerns, keeps Market Perform rating

EditorAhmed Abdulazez Abdulkadir
Published 08/05/2024, 11:30 PM

On Monday, BMO Capital Markets revised its price target for Ingevity Corp (NYSE:NGVT), a company specializing in specialty chemicals and materials, decreasing it to $42 from the previous $45. Despite the adjustment, the firm retains a Market Perform rating on the stock.

The adjustment comes as Ingevity continues to address challenges within its Performance Chemicals (PC) business and aims to lay a groundwork for future growth after dealing with issues related to its Chief Technology Officer (CTO).

The company's efforts to navigate through its PC business complexities and establish a solid foundation are acknowledged. These steps are seen as necessary for Ingevity to realize growth that both the company and its investors anticipate in the coming years. The revised target reflects a cautious outlook on the potential earnings from the PC segment by 2025 as well as the extent to which free cash flow (FCF) may recover.

BMO Capital Markets' stance on Ingevity's stock remains neutral, citing a balanced risk/reward scenario. The firm's analyst points out the existing uncertainties surrounding the PC business's future earnings and the magnitude of the anticipated recovery in free cash flow. This neutral perspective is reflected in the decision to maintain the Market Perform rating while adjusting the price target.

The updated price target of $42 is informed by the ongoing efforts to resolve the PC business issues and the need to establish a solid base for growth. Ingevity's management and investors are looking forward to growth prospects following the resolution of the CTO-related issues that have previously impacted the company's performance.

In summary, BMO Capital Markets has adjusted its price target for Ingevity Corp to $42, maintaining a Market Perform rating. The firm highlights the company's initiatives to improve its PC business and prepare for future growth, while also expressing caution about the potential for PC earnings in 2025 and the recovery of free cash flow. The new price target reflects BMO's neutral view on the stock's risk/reward balance.

In other recent news, Ingevity Corporation reported a mixed financial performance for its second quarter of 2024, with a net loss of $283.7 million. This loss was primarily attributed to restructuring charges, CTO resale losses, and a noncash goodwill impairment charge.

However, the company is actively implementing a repositioning strategy for its Performance Chemicals segment and anticipates a decline in leverage to around 3.5 times by year's end. Ingevity also revised its full-year sales guidance to be between $1.4 billion and $1.5 billion, with an adjusted EBITDA guidance between $350 million and $360 million.

In other significant developments, the company is planning to reduce costs by relocating oil refining operations to North Charleston and closing its Crossett site. Despite the restructuring, Ingevity's Performance Materials delivered strong margins, and its Advanced Polymer Technologies saw volume growth. The company aims to achieve a consolidated margin in the mid to high 20% range and generate over $150 million a year in free cash flow.

Lastly, Ingevity expects to transition to a lower-cost CTO by the second quarter of next year and anticipates the Performance Chemicals segment to return to profitability in 2025. The company's revised full-year free cash flow guidance is slightly positive, factoring in the CTO contract termination fee and severance-related costs.

InvestingPro Insights

In light of BMO Capital Markets' revised price target for Ingevity Corp, it's worth considering additional metrics and insights from InvestingPro. Ingevity's market capitalization stands at approximately $1.31 billion, and despite recent challenges, the company's net income is expected to grow this year. Analysts have adjusted their earnings expectations downward for the upcoming period, which aligns with BMO's cautious stance on the company's Performance Chemicals segment.

InvestingPro data shows that Ingevity has been trading at a high Price / Book multiple of 5.26 as of the last twelve months leading up to Q2 2024, which may suggest a premium valuation relative to the company's book value. Additionally, the stock has experienced significant volatility, with a one-week price total return of -9.87%, reflecting the market's reaction to recent events and uncertainties.

For investors looking for more in-depth analysis, there are 7 additional InvestingPro Tips available, which provide further insight into Ingevity's financial health and market performance. These tips, along with real-time metrics, can be accessed through InvestingPro's platform and may offer valuable information for making informed investment decisions.

Overall, Ingevity's growth prospects and financial metrics provide a comprehensive picture that investors should consider alongside analyst ratings and price targets.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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