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Barclays sees long-term value opportunity in Westlake stock after underperformance

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 09/30/2024, 04:12 PM
WLK
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On Monday, Barclays made a bullish move on Westlake Chemical (NYSE:WLK) stock, raising the rating from Equalweight to Overweight and increasing the price target to $180 from the previous $162. The upgrade comes amid a period of underperformance for Westlake, which Barclays believes offers a favorable opportunity for investors.

The firm's analysis suggests that concerns about the company's polyvinyl chloride (PVC) pipe business and recent litigation risks, as well as the unexpected change in CEO, may be overstated.

The analyst argues that the risks of significant PVC pipe price deflation are minimal and that the CEO transition does not indicate a deviation from the company's long-term strategy or its ability to create value.

Barclays further points out that Westlake Chemical is well-positioned at the low points of both the chemical and U.S. housing cycles. The firm emphasizes the company's strong balance sheet and history of value-creating cash deployment as key factors supporting the upgrade.

Additionally, the perceived quality of Westlake's building products business is seen as improving, which could lead to a higher valuation. This business segment is becoming a more significant contributor to Westlake's earnings, supporting the case for a re-rating of the company's valuation.

The new price target of $180 is based on approximately 9.3 times the firm's estimated 2025 EBITDA of $2.75 billion, reflecting confidence in Westlake Chemical's financial prospects and market position.

In other recent news, Westlake Chemical has been making significant strides in its financial performance and strategic growth. The company reported record-breaking net sales of $3.2 billion and a net income of $313 million for the second quarter of 2024, primarily driven by the Housing and Infrastructure Products (HIP) segment.

Westlake Chemical's HIP segment experienced a 6% year-over-year margin increase to 28%, while the Performance and Essential Materials (PEM) segment saw a slight margin decline.

RBC Capital Markets upgraded Westlake Chemical's stock from "Sector Perform" to "Outperform," raising the price target to $174. This upgrade is attributed to the consistent performance of the HIP segment and effective capital deployment strategies. Similarly, BMO Capital raised its price target for Westlake Chemical to $171, maintaining a Market Perform rating.

Further, Westlake Corporation has adjusted its executive compensation structure, particularly for Albert Chao, who transitioned from President and CEO to Executive Chairman of the Board.

Chao's annual base salary has been revised to $1,019,000, with a target bonus under the company's Annual Incentive Plan for 2024 set at 105% of his new base salary. These recent developments highlight the company's continuous efforts to improve its financial performance and strategic growth.

InvestingPro Insights

Recent data from InvestingPro adds weight to Barclays' bullish stance on Westlake Chemical (NYSE:WLK). The company's market capitalization stands at $19.3 billion, reflecting its significant presence in the chemical industry. Westlake's P/E ratio (adjusted) of 32.47 for the last twelve months as of Q2 2024 suggests investors are willing to pay a premium for the company's earnings, potentially due to its strong market position and growth prospects.

An InvestingPro Tip highlights that Westlake has raised its dividend for 19 consecutive years, underscoring the company's commitment to returning value to shareholders. This aligns with Barclays' emphasis on Westlake's history of value-creating cash deployment. Additionally, the company's dividend yield of 1.4% and impressive dividend growth of 47.06% in the last twelve months as of Q2 2024 further support this perspective.

Another relevant InvestingPro Tip notes that Westlake's earnings per share are forecast to grow significantly this year, which could contribute to the potential re-rating mentioned in the Barclays analysis. This growth outlook, combined with the company's strong balance sheet, positions Westlake favorably as it navigates the chemical and housing cycles.

For investors seeking a deeper understanding of Westlake's financial health and growth potential, InvestingPro offers 17 additional tips that could provide valuable insights for investment decisions.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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