On Monday, Barclays issued a downgrade for Intapp, Inc (NASDAQ:INTA) stock, moving its rating from Overweight to Equal Weight and setting a price target of $44.00. The adjustment comes as the firm anticipates a lower net new Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) for the company in the first quarter of 2025, compared to previous quarters and year-over-year figures.
The firm's analysis suggests that Intapp may experience a decline in net new ARR to $14.6 million in the first quarter, which is traditionally the slowest period for enterprise Software as a Service (SaaS) companies. This forecast places Barclays at the conservative end of consensus estimates, especially following a fourth quarter that benefited from catch-up deals.
Despite expectations that Intapp's revenue guidance for the fiscal year 2025 will show an increase, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 27%, Barclays also predicts that this will be partly driven by multi-year term renewals. These renewals are not phasing out as quickly as the firm initially expected.
Barclays acknowledges Intapp's strong competitive position as a leader in vertical SaaS. However, with the company's enterprise value to sales (EV/S) ratio for the calendar year 2025 projected at approximately 7.5 times, compared to its historical average of around 5.5 times, Barclays views the risk-reward profile as more balanced. Consequently, the firm has decided to adopt a more neutral stance on the stock.
In other recent news, Intapp's fiscal fourth quarter and year-end 2024 performance showed robust growth with a 33% increase in cloud annual recurring revenue (ARR) to $297 million, accounting for 73% of the company's total ARR. This was complemented by a 21% rise in total revenue, which reached $114 million.
The company also reported the addition of 73 accounts with ARR exceeding $1 million, marking a 38% year-over-year growth. Stifel, an independent analysis firm, maintained a Buy rating on Intapp shares and increased the price target to $60, reflecting a positive outlook on the company's first-quarter performance and the timing of new cloud ARR.
Despite a shift in the timing of new cloud ARR realization to the latter half of the year, Stifel's projections for Intapp's full fiscal year 2025 remain consistent with prior expectations.
For the coming fiscal year, Intapp projects SaaS revenue between $326.7 million and $330.7 million, supported by strategic partnerships, product innovation, and international expansion. Despite anticipated minimal revenue from AI offerings in fiscal year 2025, Intapp remains positive about its growth trajectory.
The company's growth strategy emphasizes product innovation, strategic acquisitions, partnerships, and a focus on SaaS offerings, which are expected to generate over 90% of future revenue.
InvestingPro Insights
Recent data from InvestingPro adds depth to Barclays' analysis of Intapp, Inc (NASDAQ:INTA). Despite the downgrade, InvestingPro Tips highlight that Intapp holds more cash than debt on its balance sheet, which could provide financial flexibility as the company navigates the anticipated slowdown in net new ARR. Additionally, net income is expected to grow this year, potentially offsetting concerns about the projected decline in Q1 2025 ARR.
InvestingPro data shows Intapp's revenue for the last twelve months as of Q4 2024 was $430.52 million, with a robust revenue growth of 22.7% over the same period. This aligns with Barclays' expectation of continued revenue growth, albeit potentially driven by multi-year term renewals.
The company's Price / Book ratio of 8.98 and the InvestingPro Tip noting that Intapp is trading at a high revenue valuation multiple corroborate Barclays' observation about the elevated EV/S ratio. This valuation context supports the more balanced risk-reward profile cited in the downgrade.
For investors seeking a comprehensive analysis, InvestingPro offers 10 additional tips for Intapp, providing a broader perspective on the company's financial health and market position.
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