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Analog Devices stock price target cut, overweight rating held by Morgan Stanley

EditorNatashya Angelica
Published 08/05/2024, 10:32 PM

On Monday, Morgan Stanley adjusted its stock price target for Analog Devices (NASDAQ:ADI), decreasing it to $250 from the previous $260, while maintaining an Overweight rating on the stock. The firm cited a mix of industry challenges and a moderated outlook for the company's recovery as the reasons behind the adjustment.

Analog Devices is viewed by the analyst as a strong player in a challenging market, particularly due to its position in niche industrial and automotive markets that are seen as relatively insulated. Despite this, the analyst noted incremental weakness in the automotive sector and a slower-than-expected recovery in the industrial space, prompting a slight reduction in earnings estimates ahead of the company's earnings report.

Although the analyst anticipates the analog sector to reach a low point in the second quarter, they have revised Analog Devices' revenue forecast for the October quarter, expecting a more gradual recovery through the year. Consequently, the analyst has moderated the calendar year 2025 revenue growth forecast from 23.9% year-over-year to 19.8%.

The revised forecast for calendar year 2025 now stands at $11.016 billion in revenue with a 70.1% gross margin and earnings per share of $8.59. The price target is based on a 28 times multiple of the estimated CY25 earnings per share, which has been reduced in line with the new earnings forecast.

Analog Devices is scheduled to report its quarterly results before the market opens on August 21st, an event that will provide further insight into the company's financial performance and future outlook.

In other recent news, Analog Devices and Microchip Technology (NASDAQ:MCHP) have been recognized for their sales rebound potential by a major financial firm. The firm's analysis suggests that both companies are currently shipping quantities below market demand, which is expected to lead to an increase in sequential sales growth. This projected growth is attributed to a forecasted phase of inventory replenishment, likely contributing to an uptick in earnings per share (EPS).

Similarly, Baird and TD Cowen have raised their stock targets for Analog Devices following a revenue rebound and strong earnings report. Baird increased the price target to $250 from $200, while TD Cowen raised the target to $270 from the previous $210. Both firms acknowledged Analog Devices' strategic positioning amid macroeconomic uncertainties, with Baird highlighting the company's resilience to potential pricing pressures compared to its peers.

In the recent earnings call, Analog Devices reported a robust financial performance for Q2 of the fiscal year 2024, surpassing market expectations. The company anticipates continued growth across all business-to-business markets, particularly in the industrial sector, with expected Q3 revenue of $2.27 billion and an operating margin of 40%. These recent developments reflect the positive outlook on Analog Devices' financial health and market position.

InvestingPro Insights

Amidst the recent adjustments in Analog Devices' (NASDAQ:ADI) price target by Morgan Stanley, InvestingPro data provides a broader perspective on the company's financial health and market valuation. With a market capitalization of $101.15 billion and a trailing P/E ratio of 47.41, the company stands as a prominent player in the semiconductor industry. Despite recent challenges, Analog Devices has shown resilience, sustaining a gross profit margin of nearly 60% over the last twelve months as of Q2 2024.

InvestingPro Tips highlight the company's commitment to shareholders, with Analog Devices raising its dividend for over two decades, a testament to its financial stability. Additionally, the positive sentiment among analysts is evident, with 24 analysts revising their earnings upwards for the upcoming period, signaling potential confidence in the company's future performance.

For investors seeking a deeper dive into Analog Devices' potential, InvestingPro offers additional insights, including a total of 15 InvestingPro Tips that could further inform investment decisions. These tips, along with real-time data and analytics, are available on the InvestingPro platform, providing a valuable tool for those looking to navigate the complexities of the semiconductor market.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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