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PRECIOUS-Gold firms as recession fears bolster safe-haven bids

Published 08/15/2019, 06:30 PM
Updated 08/15/2019, 06:40 PM
PRECIOUS-Gold firms as recession fears bolster safe-haven bids
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* SPDR Gold holdings jump 0.9% on Wednesday
* U.S. retail sales data expected at 1230 GMT

(Adds comments, details and updates prices)
By Eileen Soreng
Aug 15 (Reuters) - Gold extended gains on Thursday after
climbing 1% in the previous session, as concerns that an
inversion in the U.S. government bond yield curve was signalling
recession fuelled interest in the metal as a haven from risk.
At the day's peak of $1,523.91, gold was back to within $11
of Tuesday's six-year high, hit on fears of a global downturn as
investors fretted over a U.S.-China trade war, unrest in Hong
Kong and a slide in emerging-market assets.
Spot gold XAU= was up 0.2% at $1,519.71 per ounce by 0946
GMT, while U.S. gold futures GCcv1 were up 0.2% at $1,530.60.
The slide in government bond yields has been an alarming
signal in terms of recession fears, said Norbert Ruecker, head
of economics and next-generation research at Julius Baer.
"The overall uncertainty from the trade dispute is high and
we also expect some central bank action for recession-fighting
to come over the next weeks and months," Ruecker said. "This
should support the gold price at current levels."
The U.S. yield curve was inverted for a second straight
trading session on Thursday. The yield curve inversion, which
has historically signalled a looming recession, triggered an
extensive flight to safety. US/
World shares held at 2-1/2-month lows, though Wall Street
was set for a firmer open as investors bet the U.S. Federal
Reserve and other central banks would respond strongly to
recession warnings emanating from bond markets. MKTS/GLOB
On the trade front, senior U.S. officials on Wednesday said
China has made no concessions after Washington delayed tariffs
on some Chinese imports, the latest sign that the trade saga is
going nowhere. Spot gold has gained over 8%, or more than $100, since the
beginning of the month amid the heightened trade tensions and a
slew of disappointing economic data globally.
"We think gold could rise to as much as $1,580-$1,600 over
the remainder of the year – we think risks are skewed to the
upside and would not rule out a temporary breach of the upper
end of that range," analysts at UBS said in a note.
Markets are awaiting U.S. retail sales data due later in the
day, which could further hint at the strength of the world's
largest economy.
Indicative of investor interest, holdings of the world's
largest gold-backed exchange-traded fund, SPDR Gold Trust GLD ,
rose 0.9% to 844.29 tonnes on Wednesday. GOL/ETF
Elsewhere, silver XAG= rose 0.3% to $17.26 per ounce.
Platinum XPT= dipped 0.1% to $839.33 an ounce and
palladium XPD= was 0.1% higher at $1,425.77.

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