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V2X stock outlook dimmed by low margins and high leverage compared to peers

EditorAhmed Abdulazez Abdulkadir
Published 12/12/2024, 05:22 PM
VVX
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On Thursday, Goldman Sachs initiated coverage on V2X, Inc. (NYSE:VVX), the aerospace and defense company, with a Sell rating and a price target of $54.00. The firm expressed concerns about the potential macroeconomic risks affecting the company's revenue, particularly due to pressures on government spending which could impact V2X's top line.

According to InvestingPro data, other analysts maintain a more optimistic view, with price targets ranging from $68 to $80, though four analysts have recently revised their earnings expectations downward.

The analyst from Goldman Sachs highlighted that V2X has been experiencing weak bookings in recent times and anticipates this trend might continue into 2025.

Bookings are considered a leading indicator of organic revenue growth, suggesting potential future revenue challenges for the company. The observation comes amid a backdrop where V2X's revenue stream is notably concentrated, with about a quarter of its revenue coming from its three to four largest programs.

InvestingPro data reveals that while the company maintains revenue growth of 7.79% over the last twelve months, it operates with thin gross profit margins of just 7.93%, potentially limiting its financial flexibility. Get access to over 10 additional key metrics and insights with InvestingPro's comprehensive analysis.

V2X's position in the market is further complicated by the high re-compete risk within its end-market, a situation exacerbated if overall end-market revenue faces downward pressure. The analyst pointed out that V2X operates with low margins and carries higher balance sheet leverage compared to its industry peers, factors that could contribute to financial vulnerability.

The report by Goldman Sachs indicates a bearish outlook on V2X's financial performance, suggesting that there may be downside to the consensus estimates for the company's near- and medium-term financial results. This assessment is based on the current and anticipated market conditions that could affect V2X's business operations and financial health.

In other recent news, V2X, Inc. has been making significant strides in its business operations. The company reported an 8% increase in third-quarter revenue, reaching $1.08 billion, and a 28% rise in adjusted EBITDA to $82.7 million. The company's adjusted diluted EPS also jumped by 77% to $1.29.

V2X has also announced a secondary public offering of 2,500,000 shares of common stock by an existing stockholder, a move that is subject to market conditions. The company itself will not be selling any shares nor receiving proceeds from this transaction.

In the world of analyst ratings, BTIG initiated coverage on V2X, assigning a Buy rating and a price target of $80.00, while Truist Securities maintained its Buy rating on V2X shares, following the company's increased midpoint for its 2024 revenue and adjusted EPS guidance.

Moreover, V2X has secured $5 billion in awards and raised its 2024 revenue guidance, despite a 22% decrease in European revenues. The company also secured a $225 million warfighter training readiness contract and expressed optimism about the transition of the F-16 cockpit upgrade contract from development to production.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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