On Thursday, HSBC analyst adjusted the price target for Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) shares, raising it to $140 from the previous $126 while keeping a Reduce rating on the stock. The analyst provided insights into the company's fourth quarter, noting potential challenges but also areas that might offer positive surprises, such as Full Self-Driving (FSD) releases and regulatory credits.
HSBC highlighted the uncertainty surrounding Tesla's future product offerings. Despite the anticipation of more affordable models, the lack of certification data and other confirming details led the analyst to question whether these new models would significantly boost market share to meet management's growth targets.
The report also touched on Tesla's other ventures, including the Cybercab concept, noting that regulatory approval and commercialization could extend beyond 2026. The analyst expressed skepticism about the projected costs for a fleet of taxis, suggesting they may be underestimated.
Concerns were also raised about the timelines and commercial viability of Tesla's additional projects, such as Optimus, AI Compute, and other FSD initiatives. The report indicated a belief that these products' time to market could be years away, implying that the current company valuation might not fully account for these extended timelines.
The HSBC analyst concluded by mentioning Tesla's history of missed deadlines and targets, stating that the company's optimistic "winning on all fronts" rhetoric did not provide sufficient grounds for altering their stance on the stock. The analysis suggests a cautious approach to Tesla's ambitious growth and innovation plans, given past performance and the potential overestimation of near-term commercial achievements.
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