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Micron Technology shares poised for recovery despite mid-cycle correction, says Stifel

EditorAhmed Abdulazez Abdulkadir
Published 12/13/2024, 09:30 PM
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On Friday, Stifel maintained its Buy rating on Micron Technology (NASDAQ:MU), with a steady price target of $135.00. According to InvestingPro data, Micron is currently trading near its Fair Value, with the stock showing a 23.65% return over the past year.

The firm anticipates that Micron's first-quarter earnings, scheduled for December 18, will align with Stifel's and consensus estimates, showing strong quarter-over-quarter and year-over-year growth.

Despite projecting modest growth for the second quarter of February and estimates falling below consensus, Stifel suggests Micron might provide an even more cautious outlook due to seasonal and cyclical challenges, as consumer demand remains lackluster.

Stifel's analysis suggests that the current market conditions are part of a mid-cycle correction for Micron, during which the company is expected to maintain robust margins and profitability. The optimism from Stifel is partly due to recent indicators of tighter supply control in the NAND sector and Micron's progress in high-bandwidth memory (HBM) DRAM technology.

InvestingPro data reveals that Micron maintains a healthy current ratio of 2.64 and operates with a moderate debt level, with total debt to capital at just 11%. Although near-term memory bit shipments may see a decline due to inventory management and seasonality, Stifel expects a higher sales mix of HBM, DDR5, and enterprise SSDs to mitigate the impact of falling average selling prices in the more commoditized consumer memory markets.

The firm also predicts a rebound in business and margins for Micron in the third and fourth quarters, driven by a market recovery and the company's execution of key growth initiatives. Despite some caution expressed towards the upcoming earnings report, Stifel's position remains optimistic about Micron's performance and its ability to navigate through current market dynamics. The maintained Buy rating reflects confidence in the company's long-term prospects and strategic responses to the industry's challenges.

For deeper insights into Micron's financial health and growth potential, InvestingPro subscribers can access 12 additional ProTips and a comprehensive Pro Research Report, which provides detailed analysis of the company's performance metrics and future outlook.

In other recent news, Micron Technology has been the focus of several significant developments.

Wells Fargo (NYSE:WFC) reiterated its Overweight rating on Micron Technology, expressing a positive outlook ahead of the company's first quarter fiscal year 2025 earnings report. Analysts forecast a revenue growth of 52% for FY2025, supported by the company's advancements in High Bandwidth (NASDAQ:BAND) Memory (HBM). Micron aims to capture over 20% of the HBM market share by 2025, a market estimated to be worth more than $25 billion.

Furthermore, Micron Technology has secured a substantial subsidy exceeding $6.1 billion from the U.S. Department of Commerce. This funding is part of an initiative to bolster domestic semiconductor manufacturing, with the construction of facilities in New York and Idaho expected to generate at least 20,000 jobs. An additional investment of $275 million is set to expand Micron's operations in Manassas, Virginia.

Analyst firms Lynx Equity Strategies and Mizuho (NYSE:MFG) have shared their views on Micron's prospects. Lynx highlighted Micron as a potential beneficiary of recent developments in South Korea, while Mizuho reaffirmed its Outperform rating and a $135.00 price target, citing expected growth in the DRAM and HBM industry. Lastly, Micron has debuted its 6550 ION NVMe™ SSD, a 60TB data center SSD, and the first of its kind to support E3.S and PCIe Gen5 standards. This product is designed to meet the growing demands of exascale data centers.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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