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KeyBanc upgrades Charter stock, sees broadband growth and FCF surge ahead

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 12/12/2024, 05:02 PM
CHTR
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On Thursday, Charter Communications (NASDAQ:CHTR) stock received an upgrade from KeyBanc, shifting from a Sector Weight to an Overweight rating. The firm also set a new price target for Charter at $500.00, indicating a positive outlook for the company's stock performance.

According to InvestingPro data, this target sits well above the current trading price of $378.49, though analyst targets range from $292 to $525. The stock has shown strong momentum, gaining over 37% in the past six months.

The upgrade comes as Charter Communications shows signs of recovery from its previous lows. KeyBanc's analysis suggests that the company's stock has potential for further growth. This optimism is based on several factors, including expected improvements in broadband subscriber trends and cost efficiencies that are likely to drive modest EBITDA growth in 2025. The company currently generates an impressive $21.5 billion in EBITDA, with InvestingPro analysis showing 10 analysts recently revising their earnings estimates upward for the upcoming period.

KeyBanc points out that Charter's broadband subscriber trends are set to improve, primarily due to the company moving past the effects of the Affordable Connectivity Program (ACP), continued growth in rural areas, and stabilization in underlying subscriber declines. These factors are anticipated to contribute to the company's upward trajectory.

Moreover, the firm highlights that Charter's cost efficiencies are expected to continue, which should support modest EBITDA growth in 2025. These efficiencies are an important aspect of Charter's strategy to improve its financial performance.

Looking further ahead, KeyBanc projects that Charter's capital spending will peak in 2025 and decline in subsequent years. The firm believes that by 2027, Charter has the potential to generate nearly $8.0 billion in free cash flow (FCF), a significant increase from less than $3.0 billion forecasted for 2024. This projected growth in FCF could result in over $60 in FCF per share, which KeyBanc notes would make Charter Communications' stock very attractive.

The analyst's comments underscore the positive outlook for Charter Communications, suggesting that the company's strategic initiatives and market conditions could lead to a robust financial performance in the coming years. With the new Overweight rating and a $500 price target, Charter's stock appears to be poised for potential growth in the eyes of KeyBanc.

In other recent news, Charter Communications has been the center of several notable events. The company reported a net income of $1.3 billion and free cash flow of $1.6 billion, despite losing 110,000 internet customers. However, Charter added 545,000 Spectrum mobile lines, leading to a 1.6% increase in revenue and a 3.6% rise in adjusted EBITDA.

Charter Communications is set to acquire Liberty Broadband (NASDAQ:LBRDA) in an all-stock transaction, which is expected to enhance liquidity and direct ownership for Liberty Broadband shareholders. Additionally, Charter Communications has appointed Adam Ray to head the Spectrum Enterprise division, a move that aligns with the company's strategy to streamline commercial operations.

Several financial firms have adjusted their stock targets for Charter Communications following its recent earnings release. Benchmark and BofA Securities raised their stock targets to $450, while RBC Capital Markets increased its target to $390. These adjustments are based on the company's financial projections for 2025 and the potential merger with Liberty Broadband.

CEO Chris Winfrey has expressed optimism for Charter's growth prospects leading into 2025, highlighting an improved year-over-year trend for broadband subscribers. The company is executing a multi-year strategy that includes significant network expansion and upgrades. These are the recent developments for Charter Communications.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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