KeyBanc sets Pegasystems stock Overweight on effective strategies

EditorNatashya Angelica
Published 01/14/2025, 08:20 PM
PEGA
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Tuesday, Pegasystems (NASDAQ:PEGA) stock received a positive outlook from KeyBanc as analyst assumed coverage with an Overweight rating and set a price target of $118.00. The endorsement comes as a result of the company's effective strategies in growing its customer base, the introduction of its GenAI Blueprint product, and an improved approach to acquiring new clients.

The optimism appears well-founded, as InvestingPro data shows PEGA has delivered an impressive 95% return over the past year, with the stock currently trading near its 52-week high of $97.94.

Pegasystems has been focusing on expanding customer relationships and has introduced the GenAI Blueprint product, which is expected to bolster the company's market position. The analysis suggests that these initiatives could lead to an acceleration in Annual Contract Value (ACV) growth for Pegasystems. This growth potential is supported by the company's solid fundamentals, with InvestingPro showing a healthy revenue growth of 9.3% and a "GREAT" overall financial health score.

The company's refined go-to-market (GTM) strategy is aimed at landing new logos, which KeyBanc believes will contribute to sustained double-digit Free Cash Flow (FCF) growth in the near to mid-term.

There is also potential for this growth to reach the high teens, indicating an optimistic outlook for the company's financial health. The company's strong execution is reflected in its robust gross profit margin of 74.4% and positive net income expectations for the year, according to InvestingPro analysis.

The $118 price target set by KeyBanc is based on a 23x multiple of the company's projected 2026 Enterprise Value to Free Cash Flow (EV/FCF), which translates to 6x Enterprise Value to sales. This valuation reflects KeyBanc's confidence in Pegasystems' future performance and the anticipated positive impact of the company's strategies on its financial results.

Currently trading at a P/E ratio of 63x, PEGA's valuation appears rich relative to its InvestingPro Fair Value assessment, suggesting investors should carefully consider their entry points.

Pegasystems' efforts in product innovation and market penetration are thus recognized by KeyBanc as key drivers for the company's growth, which could potentially lead to an attractive return for investors as implied by the Overweight rating and the ambitious price target.

In other recent news, Pegasystems has been the subject of several analyst reports following a strong third-quarter performance. DA Davidson adjusted its stock price target for Pegasystems to $80.00, up from the previous $70.00, maintaining a neutral rating.

The firm's decision was influenced by Pegasystems' notable growth in its Cloud business segment and the company's adherence to expense discipline. Furthermore, DA Davidson acknowledged the alleviation of competitive pressures from Appian (NASDAQ:APPN) as a positive influence on Pegasystems' market position.

Simultaneously, Loop Capital raised its price target for Pegasystems to $90, up from the previous $84, keeping a Buy rating on the stock. This adjustment followed Pegasystems' third-quarter results, which surpassed both Loop Capital's and the consensus estimates. Loop Capital pointed to successful go-to-market changes and increasingly positive engagements with clients as contributing factors.

Pegasystems reported robust growth in the third quarter of 2024, marked by a 14% increase in Annual Contract Value (ACV) and a 26% growth in Pega Cloud. The company also reported a robust $250 million in cash flow from operations and $246 million in free cash flow. Pegasystems also repurchased $12 million in shares in Q3, with an additional $250 million authorized for repurchase.

Despite acknowledging challenges for the upcoming fourth quarter, Pegasystems remains optimistic about its year-end performance, driven by its strategic focus on AI and workflow processes and strengthening partnerships with AWS and Google (NASDAQ:GOOGL) Cloud.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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