Jefferies cuts Flowers Foods stock price target to $20 from $23

Published 01/23/2025, 06:22 AM
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On Wednesday, Jefferies analyst Rob Dickerson adjusted the price target on Flowers Foods shares, traded under (NYSE:FLO), to $20.00, a decrease from the previous target of $23.00. The stock currently trades at $19.89, near its 52-week low of $18.90. Despite the change in the price target, the analyst maintained a Hold rating on the stock. According to InvestingPro analysis, the stock appears undervalued based on its Fair Value metrics.

In a recent statement, Dickerson noted that retail volume pressures on Flowers Foods and the broader bread category intensified during the holiday season, compared to the third quarter. This was despite the company and its top competitors increasing promotional activities year over year, albeit at a slower pace than before. The analyst expressed ongoing concerns regarding the depth of promotions required to maintain volume growth. Nevertheless, InvestingPro data shows the company maintains strong fundamentals with a healthy current ratio of 1.24 and has consistently raised its dividend for 11 consecutive years.

Flowers Foods' recent move to acquire Simple Mills and expand further into the snacking sector was highlighted by Dickerson. He suggested that management appears to recognize more opportunities beyond the company's current core categories.

The Hold rating reiteration by Jefferies suggests a neutral stance on the stock, indicating that the firm does not currently see significant upside or downside potential from the current price level.

The price target adjustment by Jefferies comes as Flowers Foods continues to navigate the competitive and changing landscape of the food industry, with an emphasis on diversifying its product offerings and seeking growth in new market segments.

In other recent news, Flowers Foods announced strong performance in its Q3 2024 earnings call, reporting growth in fresh packaged breads and market share gains. The company also revealed a definitive agreement to acquire Simple Mills for $795 million, a deal projected to finalize in the first quarter of 2025. Truist Securities maintained a Hold rating on Flowers Foods' stock, highlighting the company's robust financial health and the positive impact of the acquisition on its product portfolio.

Flowers Foods increased its quarterly dividend to $0.24 per share, marking a 4.3% rise from the previous year, showcasing its continued financial stability. The company also updated its Code of Conduct, integrating its previous Code of Business Conduct and Ethics, to provide clearer instructions for internal reporting of violations and handling potential conflicts of interest.

CEO Ryals McMullian expressed confidence in achieving an EBITDA margin of 13-14% over time, outlining strategies for 2025 focusing on branded retail growth and cost savings. These plans include the expansion of the Wonder brand and innovation within the Dave's Killer Bread snack line. These recent developments reflect Flowers Foods' strategic approach to maintaining market leadership amidst a challenging market environment.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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