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General Mills shares maintain Neutral on recent performance

EditorNatashya Angelica
Published 12/19/2024, 09:24 PM
GIS
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On Thursday, Mizuho (NYSE:MFG) maintained its Neutral stance on shares of General Mills (NYSE:NYSE:GIS), sustaining a $72.00 price target for the company's shares. According to InvestingPro data, the stock currently trades at $63.91 with a P/E ratio of 14.34, suggesting relatively modest valuations.

The firm's position comes following an evaluation of General Mills' recent financial performance and future expectations. InvestingPro analysis indicates the stock is currently trading slightly below its Fair Value. The company experienced notable gains in its second fiscal quarter, attributed to favorable timing that significantly boosted revenue and EBIT margins.

Despite these short-term wins, the firm has adjusted its earnings projections downward for fiscal years 2025 and 2026, citing concerns over the impact of increased reinvestment strategies on earnings.

General Mills has acknowledged the need to adjust prices post-inflation to better support consumer demand. The company's management is committed to making necessary changes and is focusing on innovation, product renovation, enhanced marketing efforts, and strategic merchandising.

InvestingPro data reveals the company's strong commitment to shareholder returns, maintaining dividend payments for 54 consecutive years, with a current attractive yield of 3.76%. These steps are seen as foundational for increasing sales and EBIT growth in the near term. Mizuho views these adjustments as a positive shift for the company's business model, although the immediate impact may slow profit growth.

The revised earnings estimates for General Mills by Mizuho are now set at $4.41 for fiscal year 2025, down from the previous estimate of $4.55, and $4.66 for fiscal year 2026, decreased from $4.83. Despite these revisions, the firm has decided to maintain its price target at $72.00. This target is based on approximately 13 times the projected CY25E EBITDA and represents a 10% premium compared to the average of U.S. Food industry peers.

The firm also noted the performance of General Mills' stock since the first fiscal quarter earnings report on September 18, 2024. The shares have seen a 15% decline, which contrasts with a 3.5% decrease in the S&P Consumer Staples Index over the same period. Mizuho's assessment suggests that the risk/reward profile for General Mills is becoming more favorable as the company's shares have weakened since the last earnings report.

Mizuho's analysis and maintained price target reflect a cautious but watchful outlook on General Mills, recognizing the company's efforts to realign its pricing and investment strategies for sustainable growth.

Notable stability metrics from InvestingPro include a low beta of 0.09, indicating minimal price volatility. For deeper insights into General Mills' valuation and growth prospects, investors can access the comprehensive Pro Research Report, available exclusively on InvestingPro, which covers this and 1,400+ other top US stocks.

In other recent news, General Mills has experienced a series of financial developments. The company reported better-than-expected second quarter earnings, with an adjusted earnings per share of $1.40 and a 2% year-over-year revenue increase to $5.2 billion.

Despite these promising figures, General Mills adjusted its full-year outlook, forecasting a 2-4% decline in its adjusted operating profit due to increased promotional investments and other anticipated challenges.

Analysts from Citi and Jefferies have maintained Neutral and Hold ratings on General Mills' stock, respectively, due to the company's revised guidance and valuation concerns. Conversely, Stifel reaffirmed its Buy rating on the company, citing strong operating profit growth.

In the midst of these financial shifts, General Mills has also been linked to potential mergers and acquisitions that could dilute earnings per share by approximately 4%. This, along with developments in the food and beverage sector, such as Kraft Heinz (NASDAQ:KHC)'s stock downturn following General Mills' lowered annual profit forecast, form the recent developments around General Mills.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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