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Citi cuts FedEx shares target; maintains buy rating ahead of Q2 results

EditorNatashya Angelica
Published 12/14/2024, 12:02 AM
FDX
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On Friday, Citi analyst Ariel Rosa adjusted the price target on FedEx (NYSE:FDX), bringing it down marginally to $330 from $331 while sustaining a Buy rating on the stock.

According to InvestingPro data, analyst targets for FedEx range from $200 to $366, with the current consensus maintaining a Buy recommendation. The revision comes ahead of the company's anticipated second-quarter fiscal year 2025 earnings report, which is scheduled for next Thursday, December 19.

The upcoming quarter is deemed critical for FedEx, as management is expected to reveal the findings of a strategic review of its Freight division by the end of December. The Freight division's role has notably increased, now contributing nearly 30% to FedEx's combined adjusted operating income, a significant rise from less than 10% in past years.

The growth has been crucial in bolstering earnings amid challenges faced by the Express division. The company's financial health remains solid, with InvestingPro data showing a healthy EBITDA of $10.9 billion and a return on equity of 15% in the last twelve months.

FedEx's Freight segment has been estimated to hold a value of approximately $30-35 billion, which equates to around 50% of FedEx's market capitalization and about 40% of its enterprise value (EV).

The analyst notes that while there could be benefits to spinning off the Freight business to unlock shareholder value, there are considerable risks involved with such an execution. The firm expresses skepticism regarding the long-term benefits for shareholders if a spin-off were to occur.

The decision on the future of the Freight division is poised to have significant implications for the company's strategic direction. The outcome of the review and subsequent decisions by FedEx management are highly anticipated by investors and could influence the company's financial trajectory moving forward.

With a current dividend yield of 1.95% and a track record of raising dividends for 4 consecutive years, FedEx demonstrates strong shareholder returns. For deeper insights into FedEx's valuation and growth prospects, including exclusive ProTips and comprehensive financial analysis, visit InvestingPro.

In other recent news, FedEx Corporation (NYSE:FDX) has witnessed significant developments. Baird maintained an Outperform rating for FedEx with a steady price target of $320.00, anticipating a slight uptick in the company's shares as it approaches its earnings report. Despite a challenging economic environment, FedEx's second-quarter results are expected to align closely with market expectations.

Bernstein downgraded FedEx stock, citing potential risks in the company's guidance and policy concerns. FedEx reported a 21% decrease in adjusted first-quarter earnings per share (EPS) for fiscal 2025, and its DRIVE initiative is projected to yield $2.2 billion in cost savings during the fiscal year.

Loop Capital, BofA Securities, and BMO Capital Markets adjusted their price targets for FedEx, reflecting various challenges the company is facing. FedEx has also made significant amendments to its corporate governance structure, including limiting the personal liability of certain officers.

This change was approved by stockholders at the annual meeting, which also saw the election of fourteen directors and the ratification of Ernst & Young LLP as its independent registered public accounting firm.

The company's Third Amended and Restated Certificate of Incorporation has been modified to limit the personal liability of certain officers, aligning with Delaware state law. This amendment was approved by FedEx shareholders at the annual meeting. The annual meeting also saw the election of fourteen directors who will serve until the 2025 annual meeting.

FedEx also received advisory approval for its executive compensation approach and ratified the designation of Ernst & Young LLP as its independent registered public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending May 31, 2025.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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