Cantor maintains $28 target on Redwire stock post-acquisition

Published 01/24/2025, 09:24 PM
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Friday, Cantor Fitzgerald reaffirmed its Overweight rating and $28.00 price target for Redwire (NYSE:RDW) shares, which currently trades at $22.05. The firm's analyst, Colin Canfield, commented on the company's recent acquisition of Edge Autonomy for $925 million, comprising $150 million in cash and $775 million in equity. The transaction is expected to be accretive to Redwire's EBITDA/FCF in 2025 and to its EPS in 2026 as the company shifts strategically. According to InvestingPro data, Redwire has shown remarkable momentum with a 681.91% return over the past year, though current valuations suggest the stock may be trading above its Fair Value.

Redwire's move to acquire Edge Autonomy is seen as a positive development, marking a transition from being primarily a space component company with satellite prime aspirations to becoming a system-of-systems provider for defense customers. This acquisition is particularly noteworthy as it addresses a gap in the market for integrated satellite-drone solutions, which have seen limited development to date. With a market capitalization of $1.48 billion and strong revenue growth of 27.35% in the last twelve months, InvestingPro analysis reveals 15+ additional insights about Redwire's financial health and growth prospects.

The analyst believes that Redwire will not only benefit financially from a solid base of cash flow growth but will also gain strategic value as a supplier of comprehensive systems for government clients. The acquisition could position the company favorably against competitors like scaled constellations such as Starlink and terrestrial technology from Defense Primes, which have not yet fully integrated satellite and drone technologies.

While there are risks, such as customers choosing to source space and defense technologies separately and performing their own integration, Canfield suggests that the scarcity of international space expertise may mitigate this issue. Moreover, the acquisition is anticipated to enhance Redwire's production capabilities across its various systems, including satellites, uncrewed systems, and components, as it aims to offer a complete end-to-end solution for intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance (ISR).

In summary, with the strategic acquisition of Edge Autonomy, Redwire is poised to expand its offerings and potentially increase its value to both investors and government customers seeking integrated system solutions. Analysts maintain a bullish outlook, with price targets ranging from $9.50 to $30.00. For deeper insights into Redwire's valuation metrics and growth potential, investors can access the comprehensive Pro Research Report available exclusively on InvestingPro, which provides detailed analysis of this rapidly evolving space technology company.

In other recent news, Redwire Corporation has reported substantial growth and strategic developments. The aerospace company announced a 9.6% increase in revenue, reaching $68.6 million in the third quarter of 2024. The company's full-year revenue forecast stands at $310 million, indicating a 27% growth rate, with 76% of the target achieved year-to-date.

Redwire has also made significant strides in expanding its operations. The company recently announced the acquisition of Edge Autonomy, a company specializing in uncrewed airborne systems. The transaction, valued at $925 million, is projected to strategically position Redwire in multi-domain activities. Jefferies analysts have maintained a Buy rating on Redwire, with a price target of $21.00, following the endorsement of this acquisition.

Furthermore, Redwire has secured a substantial contract with the Air Force Research Laboratory, valued at $45.5 million over five years. This contract is viewed by H.C. Wainwright as further evidence of Redwire's effective execution of its expansion plans. The firm maintains a Buy rating on Redwire shares, forecasting a revenue increase to $366.0 million in 2025.

These recent developments highlight Redwire's strategic growth initiatives and robust financial performance. The company's commitment to innovation and strategic acquisitions, coupled with a strong financial outlook, positions it well for future developments in the aerospace sector.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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