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Market Movers of the Week: Nvidia, Walmart Push Stocks to New Worrisome Levels

Published 02/24/2024, 12:59 AM
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  • Benchmark indexes are set to conclude the week positively, driven by bullish surges in key stocks.
  • So in this article, we will take a look at the top four stocks in terms of performance this week and use InvestingPro to analyze their prospects going ahead.
  • Nvidia, and Walmart are some of the names we intend to analyze in this article
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  • Benchmark indexes Dow Jones, Nasdaq, and the S&P 500 are poised to finish the week on a positive note. We have seen notable performances from four key stocks:

    • Moderna (NASDAQ:MRNA) +9.11%
    • Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA) +8.09%
    • Walmart (NYSE:WMT) +3.60%
    • Tenaris (NYSE:TS) +7.75%

    What's Driving These Stocks?

    Moderna's Q4 earnings per share of $0.55 and revenue of $2.8 billion exceeded consensus estimates, attributed to reduced expenses and payment delays.

    Nvidia reported record revenues of $22.10 billion, up 22% from the third quarter and 265% from a year earlier, beating expectations. Earnings per share were $5.16, up 28% from the previous quarter and 486% from a year earlier, surpassing consensus estimates.

    Walmart exceeded analyst estimates with earnings per share of $1.80 and revenue of $173.4 billion for the quarter, along with a quarterly dividend increase of 9.2% to $0.6225 per share.

    Tenaris saw 2023 revenues of $14.869 billion, a 26% increase from 2022, and net income rose to $3.958 billion, a 55% improvement over 2022. The board intends to propose a dividend payment of $0.60 per share at the upcoming shareholders' meeting on April 30.

    In this piece, we will analyze each stock using InvestingPro's Fair Value. The Fair Value is determined for each stock based on various financial models tailored to the stocks' specific metrics.

    1. Moderna

    For Moderna, InvestingPro's Fair Value, which summarizes 12 investment models, stands at $105.98.

    Fai Value

    Source: InvestingPro

    Analysts are strongly bullish on the stock, with a target price of $134.03 and consequently far from the average Fair Value.

    While analysts and Fair Value disagree on the possibility of bullishness and target price, the low-risk profile is positive. It has good financial health, with a score of 3 out of 5.

    Delving deeper into the stock with the market and competitors, the stock is currently undervalued.

    confronto Moderna con competitor - Investing Pro

    Source: InvestingPro

    Moderna is now worth more than 2.5x its revenues compared to the 3x sector average.

    The Price/Earnings ratio at which the stock is trading is -9.6x against an industry average of -0.6 percent, which again stands to confirm its current undervaluation.

    2. Nvidia

    For Nvidia, InvestingPro's Fair Value, which summarizes 13 investment models, stands at $638.68, which is 20.2% less than the current price.

    Fair Value

    Source: InvestingPro

    InvestingPro subscribers closely tracked analysts' forecasts, and they are optimistic about the stock, setting a bullish target price of $856.16.

    While there's a current disparity between analysts and Fair Value regarding the potential for a rise, the positive aspect lies in the low-risk profile. The stock exhibits excellent financial health, earning a score of 4 out of 5.

    Upon closer examination, when compared to the market and competitors, there are indications that the stock might be potentially overvalued.


    confronto Nvidia con competitor - Investing Pro

    Source: InvestingPro

    Looking at well-known indicators, Nvidia's current value is 37 times its revenue, significantly higher than the industry average of 2.1x.

    The Price/Earnings ratio for the stock is 87.9X, while the industry average is 11.2x, indicating a substantial overvaluation.

    3. Walmart

    For Walmart, InvestingPro's Fair Value, which summarizes 15 investment models, stands at $159.18, or -9.2% from the current price.

    Fair Value

    Source: InvestingPro

    Analysts project a bullish target price for the stock at $193.44.

    Despite a disparity in views between analysts and Fair Value regarding the likelihood of a rise, the positive aspect is the stock's low-risk profile. The company demonstrates good financial health, scoring 3 out of 5.

    A comparison with the market and competitors reinforces the notion that the stock may currently be overvalued.


    confronto Walmart con competitor - Investing Pro

    Source: InvestingPro

    We can see that Walmart is now worth 0.7x its sales compared to 0.9x in the industry, and the Price/Earnings ratio at which the stock is trading is 30.4X against an industry average of 11.8x, which stands to confirm its overvaluation.

    4. Tenaris

    For Tenaris, InvestingPro's Fair Value, which summarizes 15 investment models, stands at $46.20, or +31.7% higher than the current price.

    Fair Value

    Source: InvestingPro

    InvestingPro subscribers tracked analyst forecasts, which are optimistic about the stock, projecting a target price of $41.47.

    The risk profile is also encouraging, with a strong financial health rating of 4 out of 5.

    However, when comparing the stock to the market and competitors, we don't find the expected confirmation. Currently, the stock has a potentially inflated valuation. confronto Tenaris con competitor - Investing Pro

    Source: InvestingPro

    We can see that Tenaris is now worth 1.3x times its revenue compared to 1.1x in the industry, and the Price/Earnings ratio at which the stock is trading is 5.3X against an industry average of 4.2x, which stands to confirm its overvaluation.

    Conclusion

    In conclusion, analysts suggest that Moderna might rebound soon despite the Fair Value indicating that the prices are at a fair level with limited upside. The stock's downtrend could potentially come to an end soon.

    As for Nvidia and Walmart, although they boast a strong financial status and well-defined strengths, there's a cautious outlook.

    Nvidia has seen impressive gains of +278% over the past year, while Walmart has recorded +22%. These strong gains could lead to a correction sooner or later, even though investors currently have confidence in their bullish trends.

    Regarding Tenaris, despite its solid financial status and bullish Fair Value, certain indicators suggest that it might be overvalued. Investors should keep this in mind while considering their investment options.

    ***

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    Disclaimer: This article is written for informational purposes only; it does not constitute a solicitation, offer, advice, or recommendation to invest as such it is not intended to incentivize the purchase of assets in any way. I would like to remind you that any type of asset, is evaluated from multiple points of view and is highly risky and therefore, any investment decision and the associated risk remains with the investor.

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