Ethereum: Recovery Gains Momentum With This Resistance Set to Pose the Next Test

Published 03/25/2025, 06:24 PM
Updated 03/25/2025, 07:22 PM
  • Ethereum’s showing signs of recovery and renewed strength.

  • ETF flows remain steady, supporting investor confidence despite volatility.

  • Still, it needs to break out of its range to confirm the trend.

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Ethereum has been on a recovery trend for about two weeks, supported by the broader market rebound and growing investor interest. The reclaiming of the psychological $2,000 price level has started to strengthen the likelihood that buying pressure will continue. The steady rise in recent days has prompted technical indicators to flash positive signals, and the trend reversal in ETH is now under close watch.

Cryptocurrency markets have suffered significant losses in recent months due to global economic developments. Notably, Trump’s tariff policies, which brought uncertainty to global markets, also deeply impacted cryptocurrencies. During this period, Ethereum dropped as low as $1,754. This decline was further accelerated by the cyberattack on Bybit and the theft of a substantial amount of ETH in the breach.

In February, Ethereum lost up to 32% of its value due to both internal and external pressures. Although it experienced losses of up to 20% this month, it has shown signs of recovery over the past two weeks, bringing its monthly decline down to around 7%.

$2,000: A Critical Support Level

Ethereum has remained above the psychological resistance level this week after closing above $2,000 last week. Holding this level supports the upward momentum. However, as the market tends to react swiftly to current developments, ETH remains fragile at this critical support level.

From a technical perspective, there are several encouraging signs supporting the price increase. Most notably, ETH has started to move above the 8- and 21-day exponential moving averages (EMAs), which are closely watched short-term indicators. Both EMAs have begun to slope upward.

The most important factor supporting price action is the upward trajectory of Ethereum’s short-term moving averages. The fact that the price is holding above the 100-day EMA suggests that buying interest remains strong. Furthermore, the potential for a bullish crossover between the 50-day and 100-day EMAs adds another positive signal that the uptrend could continue. On the daily chart, the Stochastic RSI is approaching the overbought zone but has not yet indicated trend weakness.

That said, ETH displayed a similar technical setup in early February before the Bybit hack—one of the largest in crypto history—disrupted the bullish structure. For now, there are no new negative developments, and Ethereum is cautiously recovering.

What About Ethereum ETFs?

Investor confidence appears to be holding steady when it comes to Ethereum ETFs. There have been seven days of net-zero flows for Ethereum ETFs in March, suggesting that investors are maintaining their strategic positions.

Currently, the total asset value of Ethereum ETFs stands at $7.17 billion, representing approximately 2.85% of Ethereum’s total market capitalization. Since inception, these ETFs have seen $2.42 billion in net inflows. Sustained investor interest is crucial in helping limit potential pullbacks in ETH prices.

If this ETF market stability transitions into positive flows, it could become a key factor supporting Ethereum’s price potential in the coming months.

Ethereum Technical Outlook ETH/USD Chart (Daily Timeframe)
Ethereum continues to trade within the descending channel that has been in place since December. After recently finding support at the lower band of the channel, ETH has now climbed to the middle band. If buyers can maintain ETH above the $2,000 mark and no adverse news emerges, the next target appears to be $2,200—the upper boundary of the channel.

A breakout above the $2,200 level on strong volume could signal a move toward $2,600. This level aligns with critical technical indicators such as the 3-month EMA and the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement. As such, $2,600 stands out as a key level for a potential medium-term trend reversal in Ethereum.

On the downside, Ethereum’s failure to break above $2,100 could increase pressure back toward the $2,000 level. This could result in a period of sideways movement. However, a sharp drop below $2,000 might trigger a retest of the year’s lows.

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Disclaimer: This article is written for informational purposes only. It is not intended to encourage the purchase of assets in any way, nor does it constitute a solicitation, offer, recommendation or suggestion to invest. I would like to remind you that all assets are evaluated from multiple perspectives and are highly risky, so any investment decision and the associated risk belongs to the investor. We also do not provide any investment advisory services.

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