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Double-Digit EPS Growth Ahead? Key Stocks to Watch This Q2 Earnings Season

Published 07/10/2024, 05:23 PM
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  • Wall Street’s Q2 earnings season kicks off on Friday.
  • Analysts expect annualized profit growth of 8.8% and an increase of 4.6% in revenue growth.
  • I used the InvestingPro stock screener to identify high-quality stocks poised to deliver double-digit profit and sales growth amid the current climate.
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Get ready for more volatility; the next major test for the stock market is upon us.

Wall Street's second-quarter earnings season begins on Friday, when notable banks like JPMorgan Chase (NYSE:JPM), Wells Fargo (NYSE:WFC), and Citigroup (NYSE:C) deliver their latest financial results.

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Key Q2 Earnings to Watch Out for This Month

The week following big banks' earnings will see high-profile names like Netflix (NASDAQ:NFLX), Bank of America (NYSE:BAC), Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS), Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS), BlackRock (NYSE:BLK), American Express (NYSE:AXP), UnitedHealth (NYSE:UNH), Johnson & Johnson (NYSE:JNJ), American Airlines (NASDAQ:AAL), and United Airlines (NASDAQ:UAL) report earnings.

After that, Q2 earnings season gathers momentum in the final week of July when the mega-cap tech companies, including Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA), Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT), Alphabet (NASDAQ:GOOGL), Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN), Meta Platforms (NASDAQ:META), and Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) are all scheduled to release their quarterly updates.

According to FactSet estimates, earnings per share for the S&P 500 are expected to grow +8.8% in the second quarter when compared to the same period last year. That is slightly lower than the +9.1% annual earnings growth for the quarter forecast on March 31.

Q2 EPS Growth by Sector

Source: FactSet

As the chart above shows, the Communication Services sector (NYSE:XLC) is expected to report the largest annualized earnings growth rate of all eleven sectors, at +18.4%. The space includes notable companies such as Google-parent Alphabet, Facebook owner Meta Platforms, Netflix, Walt Disney (NYSE:DIS), as well as Verizon (NYSE:VZ), and AT&T (NYSE:T).

The Health Care sector (NYSE:XLV) is forecast to come in second, with +16.8% year-over-year EPS growth. Eli Lilly (NYSE:LLY), Merck (NYSE:MRK), UnitedHealth, Johnson & Johnson, AbbVie (NYSE:ABBV), Amgen (NASDAQ:AMGN), Pfizer (NYSE:PFE), and Moderna (NASDAQ:MRNA) are included in this sector’s mix.

Elsewhere, the Information Technology sector (NYSE:XLK) is expected to report the third-highest annualized earnings growth rate, at +16.4%. Some of the biggest names in the sector include AI darlings such as Microsoft, Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA), Broadcom (NASDAQ:AVGO), Oracle (NYSE:ORCL), Salesforce (NYSE:CRM), Advanced Micro Devices (NASDAQ:AMD), and Super Micro Computer (NASDAQ:SMCI).

The Energy sector (NYSE:XLE), which includes oil and gas giants such as ExxonMobil (NYSE:XOM), Chevron (NYSE:CVX), EOG Resources (NYSE:EOG), Schlumberger (NYSE:SLB), and ConocoPhillips (NYSE:COP), is forecast to deliver the fourth-highest year-over-year earnings growth rate, at +12.4%.

In contrast, earnings from the Materials sector (NYSE:XLB), which includes companies in the metals and mining, chemicals, construction materials, and containers and packaging industry, are expected to fall -9.7% compared to last year - the worst drop of any sector by far.

The Industrials sector (NYSE:XLI)is projected to report the second worst Y-o-Y earnings slump of all eleven sectors, with EPS set to decline -3.4% from a year earlier, per FactSet. Notable names include GE Aerospace (NYSE:GE), Caterpillar (NYSE:CAT), Uber Technologies (NYSE:UBER), Honeywell International (NASDAQ:HON), Boeing (NYSE:BA), United Parcel Service (NYSE:UPS), Lockheed Martin (NYSE:LMT), and Deere (NYSE:DE).

Meanwhile, revenue expectations are slightly less positive, with sales growth for the S&P 500 expected to increase by +4.6% from the same quarter a year earlier. If that is the reality, FactSet pointed out that it would be below the five-year average revenue growth rate of +6.9%.

Q2 Sales Growth by Sector

Source: FactSet

As seen above, nine sectors are projected to report year-over-year growth in revenues, led by the Information Technology, Energy, and Communication Services sectors, at +9.5, +9.0% and +7.3%, respectively.

On the other hand, the Materials sector is predicted to report a Y-o-Y decline in revenues, at -2.0%.

What To Do Now?

Markets are heading into the Q2 reporting season on a strong note, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq both trading at all-time highs amid growing bets of an autumn interest rate cut from the Federal Reserve.

Amid the current backdrop, I used the InvestingPro Stock Screener to search for companies that are poised to deliver annualized growth of 25% or more in both profit and sales as the second quarter earnings season kicks off.

In total, just 19 stocks showed up in my screener.

InvestingPro Screener Filters

Source: InvestingPro

InvestingPro's stock screener is a powerful tool that can assist investors in identifying high-quality stocks with strong potential upside. By utilizing this tool, investors can filter through a vast universe of stocks based on specific criteria and parameters.

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Some of the notable tech-related names include Coinbase (NASDAQ:COIN), CrowdStrike (NASDAQ:CRWD), AppLovin (NASDAQ:APP), Zscaler (NASDAQ:ZS), Cloudflare (NYSE:NET), Nvidia, Super Micro Computer, and Broadcom.InvestingPro Screener Results

Source: InvestingPro

Meanwhile, Blackstone (NYSE:BX), Newmont Corporation (NYSE:NEM), Eli Lilly, PDD Holdings (NASDAQ:PDD), Hess Corporation (NYSE:HES), Nu Holdings (NYSE:NU), MercadoLibre (NASDAQ:MELI), Axon Enterprise (NASDAQ:AXON), and First Solar (NASDAQ:FSLR) are a few more stocks to watch out for that are also projected to deliver double-digit Q2 earnings and revenue growth.

If you're already an InvestingPro subscriber, you can view the full list of the 19 stocks that met my criteria here.

Whether you're a novice investor or a seasoned trader, leveraging InvestingPro can unlock a world of investment opportunities while minimizing risks amid the challenging backdrop of elevated inflation, high interest rates, and slowing economic growth.

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Disclosure: At the time of writing, I am long on the S&P 500, and the Nasdaq 100 via the SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY), and the Invesco QQQ Trust ETF (QQQ). I am also long on the Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF (NYSE:XLK).

I regularly rebalance my portfolio of individual stocks and ETFs based on ongoing risk assessment of both the macroeconomic environment and companies' financials.

The views discussed in this article are solely the opinion of the author and should not be taken as investment advice.

Follow Jesse Cohen on X/Twitter @JesseCohenInv for more stock market analysis and insight.

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