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Tesla PT raised at Wells Fargo with Investor Day expectations high

Published 02/24/2023, 10:58 PM
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TSLA
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By Sam Boughedda

Wells Fargo analysts raised the firm's price target on Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) to $190 from $150 per share, maintaining an Equal Weight rating on the stock.

Analysts told investors in a research note that expectations for Tesla's upcoming Investor Day are high with the focus on delivery growth.

"Tesla will discuss its LT plan, capital allocation & most importantly, its Gen 3 platform," explain analysts. "While recent global price cuts have driven demand, TSLA likely needs Gen 3 to maintain its 50% delivery CAGR."

The analysts state that Tesla's Gen 3 model is expected to be $30,000, so the electric vehicle giant would cover 95% of U.S. price points.

"A $30K EV that is as profitable as a comparable ICE model likely drives more near-term momentum," they argue. "Therefore, credible profit/cost targets & launch timing are key."

"It is likely that TSLA announces a smaller Gen 3 priced at $30K, but the cost hurdles for a 20% GM EV are high requiring a >$11K reduction in BOM & >$2K in scale benefits," write analysts. "We estimate possible cost cut targets for Gen 3. E-Powertrain cuts are needed; the sole use of LFP, lower kWh & mass market optimization account for 42% of target. Cuts to the already lean interiors, body, & electronics are 43% with scale/warranty adding another ~15%."

Tesla shares are down almost 4% Friday at the time of writing.

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