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FOREX-Dollar heads for weekly gain as new infections sap confidence

Published 06/19/2020, 10:06 AM
Updated 06/19/2020, 10:10 AM
© Reuters.
EUR/USD
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USD/JPY
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* Small weekly rise would be dollar's best since May
* AUD, NZD rally pauses as second-wave fears stall optimism
* Euro pressured as EU Summit eyed
* Graphic: World FX rates in 2020 https://tmsnrt.rs/2RBWI5E

By Tom Westbrook
SINGAPORE, June 19 (Reuters) - The dollar headed for its
best week in a month on Friday as a resurgence in coronavirus
cases knocked confidence in a rapid economic recovery and drove
investors to the safety of the world's reserve currency.
Geopolitical tensions on the Korean peninsula, in the
Himalayas and between China and its trading partners have also
weighed, and the balance of risks kept morning moves modest.
The dollar traded near a two-week high against a basket of
currencies =USD and has gained about 0.4% for the week, its
largest weekly rise since mid-May. That stalled the rally in the
risk-sensitive Australian and New Zealand dollars. AUD/
"The bulls need new news and inspiration to push prices
higher. That inspiration isn't readily available," said Chris
Weston, head of research at Melbourne brokerage Pepperstone.
President Donald Trump on Thursday renewed his threat to cut
ties with China, a day after the first high-level talks between
the countries in months amid souring relations. The meeting,
between top diplomats in Hawaii, was inconclusive.
Meanwhile an uptick in coronavirus cases in many U.S. states
this week, along with rising hospitalisations, reflected a
troubling national trend that has seen daily infection numbers
climbing after more than a month of declines. More than 150 new cases have also been detected in Beijing
since last week, prompting a lift in the city's alert level and
a reintroduction of travel curbs. The Aussie AUD=D3 was steady on Friday at $0.6854 and
testing its 20-day moving average. The kiwi NZD=D3 slipped to
$0.6407, its lowest since Monday. The safe-haven Japanese yen
JPY= firmed a fraction to 106.90 per dollar.
The British pound GBP=D3 sat a fraction above a two-week
low at $1.2403, under pressure as investors fretted that the
Bank of England may not be planning enough bond buying to
support confidence through 2021. "We're seeing a few wobbles in commodity currencies as focus
is returning to the increasing infections," said Kim Mundy, FX
analyst at the Commonwealth Bank of Australia in Sydney.
"The key element is going to be whether or not we see
governments re-impose lockdown measures," she said, though
adding that was unexpected.
"We still think the general trend of the global economy
improving should weigh on the U.S. dollar and support commodity
currencies, we're just seeing a bit of a pause."

MIXED BAG
A mixed bag of U.S. economic data overnight also gave
investors pause for thought, with a rebound in Atlantic-coast
manufacturing offset by weak labour figures. Elsewhere, the euro EUR= was steady at $1.1200, a little
above a two-week low of $1.1186 touched on Thursday.
It has lost about 1.3% of its value against the dollar since
a Tuesday top as questions grow about the political viability of
the European Union's stimulus plan.
The bloc's 27 national heads join a video conference from
0800 GMT to try and reach an agreement on the best way forward
for a region that has lost over 100,000 lives to the pandemic,
and faces an unprecedented economic downturn. Investors are also keeping a wary eye on Australian trade
ties, as relations strain with its biggest trading partner,
China, over the handling of the coronavirus outbreak.
A "sophisticated state-based actor" has been attempting to
hack a wide range of Australian organisations for months and had
stepped up its efforts recently, Prime Minister Scott Morrison
said on Friday. Reuters reported Canberra had determined in March last year
that China was responsible for a hacking attack on Australia's
parliament. Australia never publicly identified that source of
the attack and China denied it was responsible.

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