On Wednesday, Truist Securities adjusted its outlook for DoorDash Inc. (NASDAQ:DASH), increasing the shares price target to $155 from the previous $140, while maintaining a Buy rating. The adjustment comes after an analysis of card data suggested that DoorDash's U.S. marketplace gross order volume (GOV) is performing better than expected.
According to the analyst's data, DoorDash's U.S. marketplace, excluding Wolt, is on track to surpass the consensus expectations of approximately $17.3 billion, which would represent a 17% year-over-year increase. The data now suggests a closer estimate of $17.9 billion, indicating a 21% growth.
The revised forecast also includes an increase in the total marketplace GOV, revenue, and adjusted EBITDA (AEBITDA) to $18.9 billion, $2,515 million, and $371 million, respectively. These figures are slightly above the previous estimates of $18.7 billion GOV, $2,492 million revenue, and $371 million AEBITDA.
The new estimates also exceed the consensus estimates from FactSet, which projected a total marketplace GOV of $18.8 billion, revenue of $2,449 million, and AEBITDA of $368 million. The analyst's projections are at the high end of DoorDash's own guidance, which anticipated a total GOV between $18.5 billion and $18.9 billion, with AEBITDA ranging from $320 million to $380 million.
Additionally, the price target revision reflects a lowered weighted average cost of capital (WACC), which has been reduced to 11% from the previous 11.5%. This change aligns more closely with the WACC of Uber Technologies Inc . (NYSE:UBER), another major player in the industry. The combination of the positive data from the Truist Card Data and the adjusted financial metrics contributed to the decision to raise the price target for DoorDash Inc. to $155.
InvestingPro Insights
DoorDash Inc. (NASDAQ:DASH) has been navigating a dynamic market landscape, and recent data from InvestingPro provides a deeper look into the company's financial health and stock performance. With a market capitalization of $56.67 billion and a significant revenue growth rate of 31.17% over the last twelve months as of Q4 2023, DoorDash showcases its ability to expand its market presence. Despite not being profitable over the last year, the company's gross profit margin stands strong at 48.22%, indicating efficient cost management relative to its revenue.
Investors may also note the stock's impressive return of 134.16% over the past year, which is complemented by a robust short-term performance, with a 39.3% return over the last three months. This aligns with the InvestingPro Tip that DoorDash holds more cash than debt on its balance sheet, a sign of financial stability that could be reassuring for investors considering the volatile nature of the stock's price movements. Additionally, despite trading at high valuation multiples, such as a Price / Book value of 8.33, analysts are optimistic about the company's prospects, predicting profitability this year.
For those looking to delve deeper into DoorDash's potential and explore additional insights, InvestingPro offers more tips on the company's financials and stock performance. Utilize the coupon code PRONEWS24 to receive an additional 10% off a yearly or biyearly Pro and Pro+ subscription, and gain access to the full range of insights, including 11 more InvestingPro Tips that can guide your investment decisions.
As the next earnings date approaches on May 2, 2024, keeping an eye on these metrics and leveraging the comprehensive analysis available on InvestingPro could be crucial for investors aiming to make informed decisions in this evolving sector.
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