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BofA expresses concerns about Moderna guidance, which 'may be a high bar'

Published 04/12/2023, 11:30 PM
Updated 04/12/2023, 11:30 PM
© Reuters

By Sam Boughedda 

BofA was left with more questions than answers following Moderna 's (NASDAQ:MRNA) Vaccines Day, BofA analysts told investors in a note Wednesday.

The analysts, who have a Neutral rating and $200 price target on Moderna, said the firm "wouldn't be surprised if shares continue to trade under pressure" following the event. "While investors were hoping for a positive efficacy outcome following the mixed immunogenicity results, following the delay, we suspect investor interest may [shift] to the updated mRNA-1010 flu vaccine, which is set to initiate a confirmatory phase 3 trial this month," they added.

They also wrote that they expect P&L uncertainty to continue to weigh on shares, even though Moderna has guided to 6 major vaccine product launches in the next few years and respiratory product sales in the range of $8B-$15B in 2027.

However, BofA and the Street "suspect this guidance may be a high bar, especially with concerns over COVID-19 revenue durability."

"Ultimately, while Moderna remains a leader in the mRNA space and has appropriately invested in its early pipeline and manufacturing capacity, P&L uncertainty has kept us somewhat cautious," the analysts concluded.

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