FOREX-Euro rises, risky currencies recover as traders stop cashing profits

* Australian dollar, Norwegian crown rise more than 1%
* Graphic: World FX rates in 2019 http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh

(Adds comment, chart, updates prices)
By Olga Cotaga
LONDON, June 12 (Reuters) - The euro edged up against the
U.S. dollar on Friday, not far from the three-month high it rose
to earlier in the week, as traders paused from cashing in latest
profits, reversing the sell-off seen in the Asian trading
session.
In Asian hours, the Australian dollar and other
risk-sensitive currencies gave up ground, before recovering and
trading higher against the safe-haven greenback when Europeans
woke up, following a rise in European stocks.
Investors had earlier decided to unwind their positions
after a rapid build-up of bets on risk assets that had taken off
on hopes of further reopening of economies.
But hopes of a post-COVID global recovery, the easing of
U.S.-China trade tensions and the prospect of capped long-term
yields in the United States weighed on the U.S. dollar, pushing
it lower against most major currencies except the Japanese yen.
"There was a risk premium embedded into it, but now these
things are being priced out," said Vasileios Gkionakis, global
head of FX strategy at Lobard Odier.
"There's definitely going to be bumps in the road, but I
think things are improving so there's an incentive for the
market to price out that risk premium for the dollar and
therefore the dollar has softened close to fair value levels."
The euro rose 0.3% to $1.1332 EUR=EBS , staying close to
$1.1422, the three-month high it reached on Wednesday.
The dollar went up only against the Japanese yen, trading
last up 0.5% to 107.39 JPY=EBS .
The Aussie dollar rose 0.7% to 0.6901 versus its U.S.
counterpart AUD=D3 , after falling to a 10-day low of 0.6799 in
the Asian session. Against the Japanese yen it rose 1.3% to
73.98 AUDJPY=D3 .
The Nordic currencies also rose, as did the oil-sensitive
Canadian dollar, which was last up 0.6% at 1.3552 CAD=D3 . The
Norwegian crown was one of the biggest movers, rising by 1.1% to
9.53 against the U.S. currency NOK=D3 , having fallen earlier
during the Asian trading session to an 11-day low.
Investors grew more concerned that swings like that could
become more persistent in the coming months, pushing the cost of
options in euro/dollar higher.
Euro one-month implied volatility gauges EUR1MO=FN
embedded in options contracts rose to 8.62%, their highest level
since April 6. The cost for three-month and six-month option
contracts also rose to their highest level since April 23 and
April 27 respectively EUR3MO=FN , EUR6MO=FN . Vasileios said that the reason behind the rise in volatility
was the fact that the euro has been overbought and market
participants wanted to hedge.
On top of that, there are a number of key events in the next
few days, including discussions on the European Union recovery
fund, Brexit negotiations as well as Bank of England and Swedish
National Bank meetings, in addition to Federal Reserve Char
Jerome Powell's semi-annual testimony to the Senate banking
committee.
Elsewhere, the British pound remained unfazed by the fact
that Britain's economy shrank by a record 20.4% in April from
March as the country spent the month in a tight coronavirus
lockdown, official data showed on Friday.
Investors saw the number as what is likely to be the bottom
of the crash before a long and slow recovery. Sterling was last up 0.2% at $$1.2632 GBP=D3 and flat
versus the euro at 89.66 pence EURGBP=D3 .
"As long as governments around the globe continue to ease
their lockdown measures, and as long as economic data continues
to point that the deep economic wounds due to the coronavirus
are behind us, we would treat the retreat as a corrective phase
of the broader recovery," said Charalambos Pissouros, senior
market analyst at JFD Group.
"We still see decent chances for equities and other
risk-linked assets to rebound again, and for safe havens to come
under renewed selling interest," said Pissouros.

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Euro implied vol rises to highest since April https://tmsnrt.rs/3fg9BOb
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