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FOREX-Dollar wobbles as liquidity measures seem to ease funding squeeze

Published 03/18/2020, 01:02 PM
Updated 03/18/2020, 01:08 PM
© Reuters.  FOREX-Dollar wobbles as liquidity measures seem to ease funding squeeze
EUR/USD
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GBP/USD
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USD/JPY
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US10YT=X
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* Dollar slips, but cedes barely a fraction of big gains
* Pound and yen best performers
* Aussie, kiwi languish around 60 cents
* Graphic: World FX rates in 2020 https://tmsnrt.rs/2RBWI5E

By Tom Westbrook
SINGAPORE, March 18 (Reuters) - The dollar edged down on
Wednesday amid signs central bank measures were beginning to
ease some of the funding squeeze, although it retained most of
its whopping overnight gains on mounting fears about the fallout
from the coronavirus crisis.
The pound and safe-haven yen made the best efforts at
recovery, with the pound GBP= gaining 0.5% to $1.2110 and the
yen JPY= up 0.5% to 107.18 per dollar.
The Australian dollar scraped back over $0.60 and the New
Zealand dollar rose 0.3%, after being trampled in the dollar's
tear. AUD/
Yet all majors are well below week-ago levels as investors
sell nearly everything for dollars and businesses draw down
loans and hoard cash to ride out the crisis.
The world is adopting a war footing as the pandemic spreads
and country after country announces draconian lockdowns. The
virus has killed over 8,000 people globally, while the total
number of cases is approaching 200,000, a Reuters tally shows.
"The newsflow is about as fluid as we have seen," said Chris
Weston, head of research at Melbourne brokerage Pepperstone.
"It mirrors that of the (2008) financial crisis if not worse
... it's very difficult to deal with this and I think FX traders
don't really know where to look at the moment."
Wednesday's tentative moves in the currency market reflected
some early signs that massive central bank liquidity measures
were beginning to service some of the demand for dollars.
The Bank of Japan on Tuesday made its biggest injection of
dollar funds since 2008, offering $30.272 billion in 84-day
dollar funding as part of a pledge from six big central banks to
offer discount dollar credit. As a result, the spread on dollar/yen cross currency swaps
JPYCBS3M= narrowed on Wednesday to around -58 basis points
from 120 basis points a day ago.
Three-month euro/dollar cross-currency basis swap spreads
EURCBS3M=ICAP also fell back overnight to 39 basis points from
as high as 120 basis points.
The euro EUR= bobbled between flat and a little firmer at
$1.1021 and against a basket of currencies =USD the dollar was
a tad weaker at 99.289.
Nevertheless, few expect the dollar demand to disappear, or
for languishing export-exposed currencies to rebound far.
The Australian dollar AUD=D3 has lost more than 14%
against the greenback this year and fell below 60 cents for the
first time since 2003 overnight. It last sat at $0.6019, and the
kiwi NZD=D3 stood at $0.5959.
Traders have also been watching volatility in the U.S.
Treasury market to get a sense of the demand for dollars.
The yield on benchmark U.S. 10-year Treasuries US10YT=RR
soared 34 basis points overnight, the largest single-day rise
since 2004 - further illustrating how massive selling is testing
liquidity in even the deepest and broadest markets. US/
"It all stems from a shortage of US dollars," said Gunter
Seeger, senior vice president in investment-grade fixed income
at New York asset manager PineBridge Investments.
"People are very, very nervous," Seeger said.
"Everyone's nervous about the virus, about oil prices, about
their job, about everything."

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