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CORRECTED-EM ASIA FX-Most Asian units begin year on soft note amid trade doubts

Published 01/03/2020, 11:02 AM
© Reuters.  CORRECTED-EM ASIA FX-Most Asian units begin year on soft note amid trade doubts
USD/SGD
-
USD/THB
-
USD/INR
-
USD/IDR
-
USD/MYR
-
USD/PHP
-

(Corrects second table to reflect 2020 year-to-date percentage
movements, not 2019 year-to-date moves.)
* Thai c. bank says monitoring baht closely
* China's yuan dips after RRR cut
* Taiwan dollar strengthens

By Shriya Ramakrishnan
Jan 2 (Reuters) - Most emerging Asian currencies began the
year on the backfoot on Thursday amid wider uncertainties about
U.S.-China trade progress while an earlier break of a key level
in the Thai baht kept the Southeast Asian unit under pressure.
U.S. President Donald Trump said on Tuesday that the "Phase
1" of a trade deal with China would be signed on Jan. 15.
However, no version of the text has been made public, and
Chinese officials have yet to commit to key planks. The South Korean won KRW=KFTC and the Philippine peso
PHP= both edged down 0.1%.
The Singapore dollar SGD= slipped 0.2%. The city-state's
economy expanded at its slowest pace in a decade last year due
to weakness in the manufacturing sector, though fourth quarter
readings firmed expectations for a modest recovery in 2020.
"Signs of a turnaround are emerging, but recovery could be
weak," DBS analysts said. "While small and agile economies such
as Singapore could bounce back faster, its openness and trade
dependent nature also imply vulnerability to unexpected negative
shocks."
Strength in global crude prices weighed on the region's net
importers, with the Indian rupee INR= and Indonesian rupiah
IDR= easing 0.2% and 0.1%, each.
The Chinese yuan CNY=CFXS dipped slightly, after Beijing
said it would cut the amount of cash that banks must hold as
reserves to spur lending and shore up the slowing
economy. Analysts say the central bank's move was widely expected and
aimed at addressing liquidity needs ahead of the Lunar New Year
holidays later this month, when demand for cash surges.
"The 50 basis points cut is not exceptionally large and so
it is neither likely to give the economy that much of a thrust
nor weigh on the yuan," Fiona Lim, senior FX strategist at
Maybank, Global Markets Singapore said. "Rather, a more benign
trade environment would be more supportive of the CNY vs the
USD."
The Taiwan dollar TWD=TP was the top performer of the day,
advancing 0.3%, while the Malaysian ringgit MYR= edged up
0.1%.

'MONITORING BAHT CLOSELY'
The baht THB=TH weakened 0.7% against the dollar, with
traders reporting intervention by the central bank. The baht surpassed the key 30 per dollar level on Monday,
with the central bank saying fluctuations were due to a rush of
year-end transactions and limited market liquidity. Thai financial markets were closed on Tuesday and Wednesday.
"Should the U.S. Dollar weaken substantially over the course
of 2020, that could bring the currency pair towards the 28.5
mark, which was a key support level in 2013," Han Tan, Market
Analyst at FXTM said.
"Such a path for USD/THB is likely to hasten the BoT's
measures in reining in the Baht's strength."
BoT on Thursday said it was closely monitoring the baht, and
that liquidity was returning to normal. CURRENCIES VS U.S. DOLLAR

Change on the day at 0609 GMT
Currency Latest bid Previous day Pct Move
Japan yen 108.730 108.7 -0.03
Sing dlr 1.347 1.3445 -0.16
Taiwan dlr 30.027 30.106 +0.26
Korean won 1157.000 1156.4 -0.05
Baht 30.100 29.9 -0.66
Peso 50.700 50.65 -0.10
Rupiah 13900.000 13880 -0.14
Rupee 71.333 71.22 -0.15
Ringgit 4.085 4.089 +0.10
Yuan 6.964 6.9632 -0.02

Change so far in 2020
Currency Latest bid End 2019 Pct Move
Japan yen 108.730 108.61 -0.11
Sing dlr 1.347 1.3444 -0.19
Taiwan dlr 30.027 30.106 +0.26
Korean won 1157.000 1156.40 -0.05
Baht 30.100 29.91 -0.64
Peso 50.700 50.65 -0.10
Rupiah 13900.000 13880 -0.14
Rupee 71.333 71.38 +0.07
Ringgit 4.085 4.0890 +0.10
Yuan 6.964 6.9632 -0.01

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