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FOREX-Dollar slips vs most currencies on U.S. stimulus expectations

Published 10/01/2020, 10:54 PM
Updated 10/01/2020, 11:00 PM
DX
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* Mnuchin, Pelosi try to hammer out stimulus plan
* U.S. data mixed overall, little dollar impact
* Chinese yuan rises to year-and-a-half high vs dollar
* Graphic: World FX rates in 2020 https://tmsnrt.rs/2RBWI5E

(Adds new comments, U.S. data, FX table, updates prices, changes byline, dateline; previous LONDON)
By Gertrude Chavez-Dreyfuss
NEW YORK, Oct 1 (Reuters) - The dollar slipped against major currencies on Thursday in volatile
trading, as hopes for U.S. fiscal stimulus cheered investors and spurred them to seek higher-yielding but
riskier currencies.
The Chinese yuan gained the most against the dollar, reaching a year-and-a-half high in the offshore
market, as a holiday in China dried up liquidity, exaggerating the moves.
In addition, Chinese data on Wednesday showed its economic recovery was on track.
Commodity currencies such as the Australian, New Zealand, and Canadian dollars as well as the
Norwegian crown also rose versus the greenback.
U.S. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi and Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin were expected to try again on
Thursday to reach a deal on COVID-19 relief, while the House of Representatives stood ready for a second
day to move a Democratic bill if talks fail. Mnuchin raised hopes of an agreement by telling reporters that Wednesday's discussions had made "a lot
of progress in a lot of areas."
"The market is latching on to renewed hopes for a stimulus deal," said Erik Nelson, macro strategist,
at Wells Fargo in New York. "Those stimulus hopes seem to be driving much of today's macro price action."
Wall Street shares were higher on the day, while U.S. Treasury prices were lower.
In mid-morning trading, the euro rose 0.1% against the dollar to $1.1721 EUR=EBS .
The Australian dollar rose 0.1% against the greenback to US$0.7168 AUD=D3 . The New Zealand dollar
gained 0.3% to US$0.6631 NZD=D3 . Against the Canadian dollar, the U.S. dollar slipped 0.1% C$1.3314
CAD=D3 .
The dollar index was little changed at 93.851 =USD , after earlier falling to 93.522, its weakest
level since Sept. 22.
That said, analysts remained skeptical about the dollar's weakness and looked to fade the moves in
risk assets overall.
"From a global macro perspective, the outlook is very much uncertain going into the colder winter
months," said Simon Harvey, FX market analyst, at Monex Europe in London.
"There is heightened possibility, especially in Europe, for more localized lockdowns. And that kind of
risk-off filtering into the dollar is very much alive and kicking," he added.
Thursday's U.S. data had minimal impact on currencies. If anything, they affirmed the tentative nature
of recovery in the world's largest economy.
Data showed the number of Americans filing new claims for jobless benefits fell last week but remained
at recession levels, while personal income dropped in August, underscoring the need for another government
rescue package for businesses and the unemployed. U.S. construction spending increased more than expected in August as historically low interest rates
boosted homebuilding, but manufacturing activity unexpectedly slowed in September as new orders retreated
from a more than 16-1/2-year high. Elsewhere, the dollar fell to 6.7306 yuan CNH=EBS in the offshore market, its lowest since early May
2019. It was last down 0.5% at 6.754 yuan.

========================================================
Currency bid prices at 10:33AM (1433 GMT)
Description RIC Last U.S. Close Pct Change YTD Pct High Bid Low Bid
Previous Change
Session
Euro/Dollar EUR= $1.1736 $1.1718 +0.15% +4.69% +1.1769 +1.1718
Dollar/Yen JPY= 105.6600 105.4500 +0.20% -2.94% +105.7400 +105.4100
Euro/Yen EURJPY= 124.02 123.56 +0.37% +1.70% +124.2000 +123.6000
Dollar/Swiss CHF= 0.9189 0.9207 -0.20% -5.05% +0.9215 +0.9165
Sterling/Dollar GBP= 1.2885 1.2916 -0.24% -2.82% +1.2978 +1.2821
Dollar/Canadian CAD= 1.3308 1.3319 -0.08% +2.48% +1.3327 +1.3279
Australian/Doll AUD= 0.7169 0.7161 +0.11% +2.11% +0.7209 +0.7155
ar
Euro/Swiss EURCHF= 1.0785 1.0791 -0.06% -0.62% +1.0805 +1.0767
Euro/Sterling EURGBP= 0.9106 0.9071 +0.39% +7.71% +0.9156 +0.9062
NZ NZD= 0.6635 0.6610 +0.38% -1.50% +0.6656 +0.6606
Dollar/Dollar
Dollar/Norway NOK= 9.3308 9.3300 +0.01% +6.29% +9.3500 +9.2525
Euro/Norway EURNOK= 10.9530 10.9369 +0.15% +11.33% +10.9640 +10.8626
Dollar/Sweden SEK= 8.9477 8.9544 +0.09% -4.28% +8.9645 +8.8994
Euro/Sweden EURSEK= 10.5038 10.4945 +0.09% +0.33% +10.5137 +10.4716

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