Get 40% Off
⚠ Earnings Alert! Which stocks are poised to surge?
See the stocks on our ProPicks radar. These strategies gained 19.7% year-to-date.
Unlock full list

Asia FX dips amid Fed uncertainty, dollar set for strong week

Published 05/12/2023, 01:46 PM
Updated 05/12/2023, 01:46 PM
© Reuters.

Investing.com -- Most Asian currencies retreated on Friday, coming under pressure from uncertainty over U.S. monetary policy following mixed economic readings this week, while the dollar stuck to a 10-day high amid dwindling bets on interest rate cuts this year.

Risk-driven assets were set for a tough week following signs of sticky U.S. inflation, as well as slowing growth in China.

The Chinese yuan traded at two-month lows after disappointing trade and inflation data released this week pointed to a slowing economic rebound in Asia’s largest economy. The readings, which came in the wake of a surprise contraction in China’s manufacturing sector, drummed up expectations of more policy loosening by Beijing.

This put the yuan within spitting distance of the 7 level against the dollar, which is psychologically important for Chinese regulators and investors. 

Weakness in the Chinese economy dulled sentiment towards broader Asian markets. The South Korean won fell 0.2%, while the Malaysian ringgit shed 0.3%, even as data showed that Malaysia’s economy grew more than expected in the first quarter.

The Australian dollar shed 0.1%, but remained relatively underpinned on expectations of more interest rate hikes by the Reserve Bank.

The Japanese yen fell 0.1%, and was set for mild weekly gains as fears of a U.S. banking crisis and uncertainty over the debt ceiling made for some safe haven demand. 

On the other hand, the dollar steadied on Friday after strong gains this week. The dollar index and dollar index futures were set to add about 0.8% each this week.

While a surprise jump in U.S. jobless claims pointed to some cooling in the labor market, sticky inflation readings for April pushed up expectations that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates higher for longer this year.

Both U.S. consumer and producer price inflation eased slightly in April, but remained well above the Fed's target range.

Fed Fund futures prices also showed that markets were dialing down expectations for any interest rate cuts by the central bank this year.

Such a trend heralds more support for the dollar, and is likely to pressure Asian currencies as the gap between risky and low-risk debt remains narrow. Most Asian central banks have wound down their rate hike cycles this year, providing little support to regional currencies.

 
 

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.