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FOREX-Euro slides after ECB stimulus; dollar gains after NY Fed move

Published 03/13/2020, 04:19 AM
Updated 03/13/2020, 04:24 AM
© Reuters.  FOREX-Euro slides after ECB stimulus; dollar gains after NY Fed move
DX
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* Euro falls after ECB decides not to cut rates
* Dollar jumps, analysts cite swap spread rise
* Safe havens like the yen and franc remain in demand
* Graphic: World FX rates in 2019 http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh

(Adds analyst comment, updates prices)
By Gertrude Chavez-Dreyfuss
NEW YORK, March 12 (Reuters) - The euro weakened on Thursday, as investors were unimpressed by the
European Central Bank's stimulus measures to fight the economic fallout from the coronavirus outbreak,
with investors flocking to the safe-haven dollar after the Federal Reserve said it will inject liquidity
into a banking system showing signs of stress.
The ECB approved fresh stimulus measures on Thursday to help the euro zone economy cope with the
growing cost of the coronavirus epidemic, but kept interest rates unchanged. "They (ECB) very much felt the pressure to at least do something because every other central bank is
lowering interest rates or doing multi-policy fronts that will help banks and businesses," said Erik
Bregar, head of FX strategy at Exchange Bank of Canada in Toronto.
A few hours later, the Federal Reserve Bank of New York said it will introduce $1.5 trillion in new
repo operations this week and start purchasing a range of maturities as part of its monthly Treasury
purchases in moves to stem panic caused by a market meltdown. It offered $500 billion in a three-month repo operation on Thursday and will offer an additional $500
billion in one-month repo and $500 billion in three-month repo loans on Friday.
The move, though, hardly stabilized the currency and stock markets, as it further increased demand for
U.S. dollars.
"We don't think this can turn around risk sentiment – it can't prevent the upcoming slowdown in
consumption and economic activity," said Elsa Lignos, global head of FX strategy, at RBC Capital Markets
in London.
"But it does mean that financial markets don't need to hoard liquidity in the way consumers have been
hoarding tissue paper and pasta," he added.
In afternoon trading, the euro fell 0.8% against the dollar to $1.1176 EUR=EBS .
The dollar rebounded sharply against a basket of currencies after the ECB announcement, and held gains
after the NY Fed announcement. The dollar index was last up 0.9% at 97.455 =USD .
Analysts said the dollar had rallied as swap spreads on major currencies blew out and investors
scrambled for the U.S. currency.
The dollar had earlier struggled after U.S. President Donald Trump banned travel from Europe to stem
the coronavirus.
With the latest ban posing a fresh disruption to the global economy, traders were also disappointed by
the lack of broad measures in Trump's plan to fight the pathogen, prompting traders to bet on further
aggressive easing by the Federal Reserve.
Fed funds futures on Thursday implied traders saw a 100% likelihood that the central bank's benchmark
overnight lending rate will fall by at least another 75 basis points this month.
The dollar rose 0.9% against the Japanese currency JPY=EBS to 105.49 yen, way above a four-year low
on Monday. It also rose 0.8% against the Swiss franc to 0.9455 CHF=EBS .
Trump announced on Wednesday a 30-day ban on travellers entering the United States from 26 European
countries, effective from midnight on Friday.

========================================================
Currency bid prices at 3:51 PM (1951 GMT)
Description RIC Last U.S. Close Pct Change YTD Pct High Bid Low Bid
Previous Change
Session
Euro/Dollar EUR= $1.1191 $1.1267 -0.67% -0.17% +1.1333 +1.1056
Dollar/Yen JPY= 105.4500 104.5300 +0.88% -3.13% +106.0800 +103.1100
Euro/Yen EURJPY= 118.02 117.73 +0.25% -3.22% +118.3200 +116.3200
Dollar/Swiss CHF= 0.9449 0.9387 +0.66% -2.37% +0.9552 +0.9323
Sterling/Dollar GBP= 1.2613 1.2820 -1.61% -4.87% +1.2849 +1.2492
Dollar/Canadian CAD= 1.3825 1.3776 +0.36% +6.46% +1.3896 +1.3706
Australian/Doll AUD= 0.6324 0.6484 -2.47% -9.93% +0.6492 +0.6267
ar
Euro/Swiss EURCHF= 1.0576 1.0574 +0.02% -2.54% +1.0591 +1.0543
Euro/Sterling EURGBP= 0.8871 0.8790 +0.92% +4.93% +0.8913 +0.8776
NZ NZD= 0.6150 0.6267 -1.87% -8.70% +0.6277 +0.6093
Dollar/Dollar
Dollar/Norway NOK= 10.1008 9.6906 +4.23% +15.06% +10.2631 +9.6889
Euro/Norway EURNOK= 11.3080 10.9190 +3.56% +14.94% +11.4346 +10.9054
Dollar/Sweden SEK= 9.6686 9.5158 +0.83% +3.44% +9.8738 +9.5016
Euro/Sweden EURSEK= 10.8112 10.7227 +0.83% +3.27% +10.9476 +10.7284

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