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Wells Fargo raises M&T Bank shares target, cites improved net interest income outlook

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 04/16/2024, 06:28 PM
MTB
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On Tuesday, Wells Fargo adjusted their outlook on M&T Bank (NYSE:MTB) shares, increasing the price target to $150 from the previous $145, while maintaining an Equal Weight rating. The revision comes as M&T Bank anticipates a slight improvement in its net interest income (NII), benefiting from a balance sheet that is largely neutral to interest rate changes.

This advantage is due to the bank's significant cash reserves, which constitute 16% of its assets, and its investment portfolio turnover, which is expected to contribute an additional 30-40 basis points to its yield.

Despite possessing excess capital, estimated at 18% of its Common Equity Tier 1 (CET1), M&T Bank has chosen to keep its share buyback program on hold. The bank's cautious stance is expected to persist through the second quarter of 2024. This decision reflects a conservative approach in the current economic environment.

The bank's commercial real estate (CRE) metrics have seen a modest improvement, indicating a reduction in the portfolio size and a decrease in new problem credits. Specifically, criticized commercial real estate loans saw a 3% quarter-over-quarter decline, which includes a reduction in construction-related credits.

M&T Bank's high cash position is seen as a buffer against fewer rate hikes, which is a notable factor in the bank's financial strategy. The bank's investment portfolio turnover is also contributing to its yield, providing a positive outlook for its NII.

The bank's cautious approach, particularly the suspension of buybacks despite available capital, signals a conservative strategy in navigating through the upcoming quarter. M&T Bank's improved CRE metrics suggest a healthier credit environment within its portfolio, with fewer new issues arising in its commercial real estate lending.

InvestingPro Insights

As investors consider the updated outlook on M&T Bank by Wells Fargo, the latest data from InvestingPro offers a comprehensive snapshot of the bank's financial health. M&T Bank's adjusted market capitalization stands at a robust $23.5 billion, reflecting its significant presence in the banking sector. The bank's price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, a key indicator of its valuation, is attractively low at 8.9 on an adjusted basis for the last twelve months as of Q4 2023. This, coupled with a PEG ratio of 0.24 for the same period, suggests that the bank's stock could be undervalued relative to its earnings growth potential.

Investors also note M&T Bank's strong revenue growth of 17.44% in the last twelve months as of Q4 2023, although its quarterly revenue growth dipped by 14.22% in Q4 2023. The bank's operating income margin impressively stands at 44.41%, highlighting its efficiency in generating profits from its operations. With a dividend yield of 3.7% as of the latest data, M&T Bank appears to reward shareholders with a steady income stream, supported by a dividend growth of 8.33% in the last twelve months as of Q4 2023.

For those seeking additional insights, InvestingPro offers more in-depth analysis and tips. Currently, there are 11 additional InvestingPro Tips available, which could further inform investment decisions. Interested readers can take advantage of these insights and receive an extra 10% off a yearly or biyearly Pro and Pro+ subscription with the coupon code PRONEWS24.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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