Green Plains (NASDAQ:GPRE) Renewable Energy (NASDAQ: GPRE) has received a reaffirmation of a Buy rating and a $25.00 price target from Truist Securities as the firm expressed a positive outlook on the stock, encouraging the purchase of shares following a significant drop in price.
GPRE's stock price fell approximately 15% on the day, a decline that occurred in the final moments of the company's earnings call.
Despite the sell-off, Truist Securities views the earnings call as constructive and maintains a positive outlook for the latter half of the year. The firm does not identify any fundamental reasons for the stock's decline, especially considering the anticipated low second-quarter spreads and the reconfirmation of timelines for key projects, including carbon capture, utilization, and storage (CCUS) initiatives.
The analyst notes that the sell-off may have been triggered by the exit of a significant shareholder rather than any change in the company's fundamentals. Truist Securities' confidence in Green Plains Renewable Energy has been bolstered by the company's reaffirmation of its CCUS project, which is expected to start operations in the second half of 2025.
The company has placed orders for long lead-time capture and compression equipment, indicating progress in this high-value initiative.
Truist Securities highlights that, at the current price levels, GPRE's shares are trading at less than five times the firm's estimated 2025 EBITDA. This valuation represents a discount of over 20% compared to its peers in the agriculture and biofuel sectors.
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