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Southwest Airlines faces eighth guidance slash in 18 months

EditorBrando Bricchi
Published 06/26/2024, 11:44 PM
LUV
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WEST PALM BEACH, Fla. - Elliott Investment Management L.P. has voiced concerns over Southwest Airlines Co. (NYSE: NYSE:LUV) following the carrier's recent announcement of a decrease in revenue guidance. According to Elliott, this marks the eighth time in the last 18 months that Southwest has reduced its revenue outlook, with the latest forecast suggesting a 4% to 4.5% decline in revenue per available seat mile (RASM) for the second quarter.

The investment firm, which holds a stake in Southwest, criticized the airline's management for failing to meet its own revenue targets and for lagging behind industry peers. Elliott's statement, attributed to partner John Pike and portfolio manager Bobby Xu, points to "complexities in adapting" to the current market environment as a reason for the reduced guidance, a challenge that Southwest's competitors seem to be managing more effectively.

Elliott's critique comes amid repeated assurances from Southwest's leadership team of improved performance, which have yet to materialize. The investment management firm has expressed a pressing need for fundamental leadership changes at Southwest to address these ongoing issues.

Elliott, which manages roughly $65.5 billion in assets as of December 31, 2023, has a history dating back to 1977 and is known for its continuous management. Its investors range from pension plans to high net worth individuals and families.

The recent statement from Elliott emphasizes its commitment to facilitating the necessary leadership adjustments at Southwest. For further details on Elliott's investment in the airline, the firm directs interested parties to its dedicated website.

This report is based on a press release statement from Elliott Investment Management L.P. and does not include independent verification of the claims. The information presented here is intended to provide a factual account of Elliott's position regarding Southwest Airlines' financial guidance and performance.

In other recent news, Southwest Airlines has adjusted its second quarter unit revenue outlook, expecting a decrease of 4% to 4.5% in revenue per available seat miles (RASM), a crucial indicator of an airline's efficiency and financial health. This adjustment is in response to fluctuating travel demand in the post-pandemic landscape. Additionally, the U.S. Treasury Department has raised $556.7 million from the sale of warrants in 11 major airlines, including Southwest, which were originally issued as part of the government's COVID-19 relief efforts.

Investment firm Citi has maintained its Neutral stance on Southwest, with a price target of $29. This is an increase from its previous target of $27.50, following proposals from Elliott Management to revamp the airline's operational and financial strategies. Meanwhile, Barclays has also maintained its Equal Weight stance on the company, with a $26.00 price target.

Elliott Investment Management has acquired a nearly $2 billion stake in Southwest, signaling an intention to advocate for changes to address the company's recent performance issues. This comes as Southwest faces increased costs and slower revenue growth due to fewer than expected aircraft deliveries from Boeing (NYSE:BA). These are some of the recent developments impacting Southwest Airlines.

InvestingPro Insights

In light of the concerns raised by Elliott Investment Management regarding Southwest Airlines' financial guidance, it's worth considering some key metrics and analysis from InvestingPro. Despite the recent downward revision in revenue guidance, Southwest Airlines holds a strong balance sheet with more cash than debt, which is a positive sign for the company's financial stability.

Moreover, the sentiment among analysts is cautiously optimistic, as evidenced by four analysts revising their earnings estimates upwards for the upcoming period. This could indicate that the company's fundamentals may be stronger than the recent guidance suggests. Southwest Airlines is also recognized as a prominent player in the Passenger Airlines industry and is expected to remain profitable this year, having been profitable over the last twelve months.

InvestingPro Data further reveals that Southwest Airlines has a market capitalization of $16.92 billion and a Price to Earnings (P/E) ratio of 19.38 for the last twelve months as of Q1 2024. Additionally, the company has experienced a revenue growth of 7.6% over the last twelve months, which, despite being lower than previous expectations, still demonstrates an upward trajectory.

For those seeking to delve deeper into the financials and forecasts for Southwest Airlines, InvestingPro offers additional insights and tips. With the use of coupon code PRONEWS24, readers can get an additional 10% off a yearly or biyearly Pro and Pro+ subscription, unlocking access to a wealth of information that can help inform investment decisions. There are 5 more InvestingPro Tips available for Southwest Airlines at https://www.investing.com/pro/LUV, which provide a comprehensive analysis of the company's financial health and market position.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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