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Scotiabank reaffirms target for Fortuna Silver shares, highlights convertible notes success

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 06/11/2024, 08:30 PM
FSM
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On Tuesday, Scotiabank reiterated its Sector Perform rating on Fortuna Silver Mines (NYSE:FSM), maintaining a shares target of $6.00. The firm highlighted the company's recent completion of a $172.5 million convertible senior notes offering.

The five-year notes, due in 2029, carry a semi-annual cash interest rate of 3.75% and have a conversion price of $6.59 per share. This conversion price is approximately 30% above the closing price on the day of the announcement.

Fortuna Silver (TSX:FVI) intends to use the net proceeds from the offering to repay its approximate $45.7 million in convertible notes due on October 31, 2024, and the outstanding $125 million drawn on a credit facility.

Scotiabank views this financial maneuver as beneficial, noting that it allows the company to refinance at a lower interest rate compared to the previous 4.65%, and at a higher conversion price compared to the earlier $5.00, extending the debt term by an additional five years.

The bank also commented on the potential for Fortuna Silver to achieve strong free cash flow (FCF) in the second half of 2024. They forecast an FCF of $133 million, attributing this to anticipated higher metal prices and reduced capital expenditure after the completion of the Lindero leach pad expansion. This would equate to an FCF yield of around 11%.

In light of these developments and following updates to their financial model, Scotiabank has decided to maintain the current stock rating and price target for Fortuna Silver Mines.

The offering is perceived to grant the company greater financial flexibility and the benefit of interest savings, as the new notes come with lower interest rates than both the credit facility and the existing debentures.

In other recent news, Fortuna Silver Mines has been making significant strides in its financial and operational performance. The company recently reported a robust Q1 performance for 2024, with sales reaching $225 million, primarily driven by gold, which accounted for 81% of total sales. The company also posted a net income and adjusted net income of $26 million, or $0.09 per share.

Fortuna Silver Mines made a strategic move by issuing $150 million in convertible notes, which will be used to pay down its current credit facility balance of $123 million and to redeem $46 million in convertibles due in October.

This move is expected to provide the company with improved financial flexibility, as noted by an analyst from BMO Capital Markets, who maintained an Outperform rating on the company's shares.

Despite a production dip at the Séguéla mine, the company produced 112,000 gold equivalent ounces and maintains confidence in meeting its annual production guidance. Fortuna Silver Mines is also making progress with its exploration programs and safety improvements.

The company is committed to strengthening its balance sheet, having paid down $40 million in the quarter, and has plans for continued debt reduction. Recent developments also include CEO Ganoza's insights on the Yessi mine's progress and potential, with more clarity expected on the project by Q3.

InvestingPro Insights

As Fortuna Silver Mines (NYSE:FSM) navigates through its financial restructuring, real-time data from InvestingPro provides a snapshot of the company's current financial health and market perception. With a market capitalization of $1.56 billion, the company's recent price movements reflect a volatile trend, as indicated by a notable 14.21% decline in the past week. Despite this, the company has experienced strong returns over the last three months, boasting a 49.12% increase.

From an operational standpoint, Fortuna Silver Mines has managed to maintain a gross profit margin of 24.62% over the last twelve months as of Q1 2024, with a revenue growth of 32.14% during the same period. These figures suggest that the company is capable of generating significant income relative to its sales, which could be a positive sign for investors looking for growth potential.

InvestingPro Tips highlight that analysts predict Fortuna Silver to be profitable this year, which aligns with Scotiabank's optimistic view on the company's free cash flow in the second half of 2024. Additionally, the company's moderate level of debt and the absence of dividend payments may appeal to certain investors who prioritize growth and capital appreciation.

For those interested in a deeper dive into Fortuna Silver Mines' financials and market performance, InvestingPro offers additional tips that can further guide investment decisions. To access these insights, consider using the coupon code PRONEWS24 to get an additional 10% off a yearly or biyearly Pro and Pro+ subscription. With 9 additional InvestingPro Tips available, investors can gain a comprehensive understanding of FSM's potential trajectory.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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