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Rivian stock target raised, stays neutral on important uncertainties

EditorNatashya Angelica
Published 06/29/2024, 12:42 AM
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On Thursday, DA Davidson updated their outlook on shares of Rivian (NASDAQ:RIVN) Automotive Inc (NASDAQ:RIVN), increasing the price target to $13.00 from the previous $12.00 while maintaining a Neutral rating on the electric vehicle manufacturer's shares. The adjustment followed the firm's attendance at Rivian's Investor Day held at the Normal, Illinois production facility.

The analyst conveyed a positive impression of the facility and Rivian's potential, noting the introduction of the R2 and R3 models and their differentiation from the R1. Despite the optimism, the firm highlighted that there are "important uncertainties" that prevent a full endorsement of the stock at this time.

Rivian's management has set a goal for the company to achieve positive EBITDA by 2027. While recognizing this target, the analyst expressed caution, pointing out that the timeframe is still distant and the company's current financials do not yet justify a bullish stance. Further clarification on certain key issues, such as the details of the Volkswagen (ETR:VOWG_p) deal, could potentially lead to a more positive outlook.

The revised price target of $13 is based on approximately 1.5 times the estimated 2025 enterprise value to sales (EV/Sales) ratio. The analyst noted that this valuation is slightly below that of Rivian's peers, who have advanced further in their electric vehicle production. However, Rivian is still several years away from launching the R2 platform, which is expected to reach a broader audience.

In other recent news, Rivian Automotive Inc has been making notable strides in the electric vehicle market. Piper Sandler reaffirmed its Overweight rating on Rivian, maintaining a price target of $21.00, following significant developments discussed at Rivian's investor day.

The joint venture (JV) with Volkswagen was highlighted as a pivotal move for Rivian, potentially facilitating lower cost of goods sold and serving as a strong endorsement of Rivian's strategic decision to develop its own electrical architecture.

Rivian also received a price target boost from Needham, raising it to $20 from the previous $13. This upgrade was based on Rivian's detailed plans for cost savings and the announcement of the joint venture with Volkswagen. The collaboration with Volkswagen involves a significant investment of $5 billion by the latter, aimed at advancing Volkswagen's electric vehicle capabilities and providing Rivian with additional capital.

Rivian has implemented measures that reportedly led to a 35% reduction in the cost of materials for its van models and similar savings for other vehicle lines. These strategies are expected to improve Rivian's gross margin. Analysts from D.A. Davidson anticipate that the focus of Rivian's investor day will be on the upcoming R2 and R3 models and the details of the partnership with Volkswagen.

These recent developments underscore Rivian's efforts towards cost reduction and strategic moves that have contributed to a more optimistic outlook for Rivian's financial performance moving forward. As of the end of March, Rivian reported having nearly $6 billion in cash and cash equivalents. These are recent developments that investors should be aware of.

InvestingPro Insights

In light of DA Davidson's updated outlook on Rivian Automotive Inc (NASDAQ:RIVN), it's worth considering some key financial metrics and InvestingPro Tips that could further inform investors about the company's current standing. Rivian holds a market capitalization of $14.67 billion, reflecting its position in the electric vehicle market.

Despite a significant return over the last week with a 40.21% price total return, the company's financials show a picture of challenges and growth. Rivian's revenue growth is impressive, with an increase of 123.79% over the last twelve months as of Q1 2024, and a quarterly revenue growth of 82.15% in Q1 2024. Still, the company's gross profit margin stands at -40.63%, indicating that it is currently not generating a profit from its revenues.

InvestingPro Tips suggest that while Rivian holds more cash than debt on its balance sheet, it is quickly burning through cash. Moreover, the RSI suggests the stock is in overbought territory, which could indicate a potential pullback in the stock price. With these considerations, investors should be aware that analysts do not expect Rivian to be profitable this year, and the company does not pay a dividend to shareholders.

For investors seeking a more comprehensive analysis, there are additional InvestingPro Tips available, which can be accessed by using the coupon code PRONEWS24 to get an additional 10% off a yearly or biyearly Pro and Pro+ subscription. With 13 more tips to explore on InvestingPro, investors can gain deeper insights into Rivian's financial health and market position.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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