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Piper Sandler turns bullish on Boston Properties, sees growth in key DC market

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 10/23/2024, 04:34 PM
BXP
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On Wednesday, Piper Sandler showed confidence in Boston Properties Inc. (NYSE:NYSE:BXP) by upgrading the stock from Neutral to Overweight and raising the price target to $105 from $78. The firm acknowledged challenges in the office sector, particularly within tech and life sciences, but pointed to positive developments in Washington D.C.'s market as a mitigating factor. Boston Properties, with 15% of its Net Operating Income (NOI) coming from D.C., may see benefits from the region's improving prospects.

The analyst highlighted that despite Boston Properties' 24% exposure to the West Coast, its San Francisco portfolio, which includes assets like the Embarcadero Center, is primarily composed of traditional professional service firms, accounting for 18% of the company's exposure. Los Angeles and Seattle's markets are still struggling, but they represent a smaller portion of the company's portfolio at 6%.

Looking ahead, Boston Properties faces certain challenges in 2025 due to potential move-outs, the delivery of unstabilized developments, and a decrease in fee income. However, the analyst noted that the company's leasing commentary has been increasingly positive, which could support stronger valuations for the real estate investment trust.

The upgrade reflects a nuanced view of the company's position within a sector experiencing variable regional performance. The improved price target of $105, up from the previous $78, suggests that Piper Sandler sees a favorable risk-reward balance for Boston Properties, considering the current market dynamics.

In other recent news, Boston Properties has been the focus of several analyst upgrades. Evercore ISI reiterated its Outperform rating, maintaining a steady price target of $84.00. The firm's outlook is based on Boston Properties' strategies for growth and cash flow improvement, including efforts to boost occupancy rates, capitalize on development projects, and reduce interest expenses.

Scotiabank raised its price target from $76 to $82, maintaining a Sector Outperform rating. This adjustment follows a recent investor dinner with Boston Properties' senior executive team, revealing key points contributing to the firm's optimistic stance. Scotiabank anticipates occupancy growth for Boston Properties in the fiscal year 2025, projecting an increase of 50 basis points year over year.

Citi, Piper Sandler, and Truist Securities also adjusted their financial outlooks for Boston Properties. Citi raised the price target to $74, Piper Sandler increased the price target from $70.00 to $78.00, and Truist Securities raised the price target to $77 from $67. All firms maintained a neutral stance on the stock.

Boston Properties reported an adjusted earnings per share (EPS) for the fourth fiscal quarter at $0.13, surpassing expectations by $0.05, despite a 6.5% decline in revenue compared to the previous year. Additionally, Boston Properties finalized over 1.3 million square feet of leasing, marking a significant 41% increase from the same period in the preceding year.

The development of the Metropolitan Transportation Authority (MTA) site at 343 Madison Avenue in New York City is progressing, indicating potential growth avenues for the company. These recent developments reflect a robust outlook for Boston Properties, with strong leasing activity and strategic initiatives providing a solid foundation for future growth.

InvestingPro Insights

Boston Properties Inc. (NYSE:BXP) has shown remarkable resilience in a challenging office real estate market, as evidenced by its recent stock performance and financial metrics. According to InvestingPro data, BXP has demonstrated a strong return over the last three months, with a 27.04% price total return, and an impressive 73.68% return over the past year. This aligns with Piper Sandler's upgraded outlook and increased price target.

The company's financial health appears robust, with a market capitalization of $15.37 billion and a revenue of $3.31 billion over the last twelve months as of Q2 2024. An InvestingPro Tip highlights that BXP has maintained dividend payments for 28 consecutive years, reflecting its stability and commitment to shareholder returns. The current dividend yield stands at 4.52%, which may be attractive to income-focused investors.

Despite the challenges mentioned in the article for 2025, another InvestingPro Tip suggests that net income is expected to grow this year. This positive outlook, combined with the company's status as a prominent player in the Office REITs industry, supports the analyst's more optimistic stance on BXP's prospects.

For investors seeking a deeper understanding of Boston Properties' potential, InvestingPro offers 11 additional tips, providing a comprehensive analysis of the company's financial position and market performance.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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