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Lennox shares target raised by RBC Capital on solid earnings

Published 10/24/2024, 07:28 PM
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RBC Capital has maintained its Sector Perform rating on Lennox International (NYSE: NYSE:LII) while increasing the stock's price target to $619 from $604.

The adjustment follows Lennox's reported operating earnings, which surpassed RBC Capital's estimates by 50 cents or 8%, attributed to better-than-expected performance in the Home Comfort Solutions sector.

The company's recent financial results have drawn attention to the competitive dynamics within the industry, particularly regarding the production and sale of older R410-A units versus the transition to the newer R-454B systems, which command a 10% pricing premium.

According to the analyst at RBC Capital, Lennox appears to have gained from the R410-A prebuy in this quarter. Moreover, the company anticipates that by 2025, the R454-B systems will account for two-thirds of market demand.

Lennox's strategic moves, including capacity expansion and a focus on emergency replacement services, are creating additional commercial opportunities. The analyst noted these developments could offer incremental benefits to the company's commercial segment.

In other recent news, Lennox International Inc. reported a robust third quarter in 2024, with a significant increase in both earnings and revenue. The company's core revenue saw a 15% rise, reaching approximately $1.5 billion, while adjusted earnings per share surged by 24% to $6.68. The operating cash flow also improved, marking a 44% year-over-year increase to $452 million. As a result of these strong results, Lennox raised its full-year guidance for 2024.

Both major segments of the company, Home Comfort Solutions and Building Climate Solutions, experienced 15% revenue growth. Lennox also raised its earnings per share guidance for 2024 from $19.50-$20.25 to $20.75-$21, and increased its free cash flow guidance to a range of $575-$650 million. Despite potential challenges such as inflationary pressures and uncertain consumer confidence, the company remains optimistic about growth in 2025.

The company plans to transition to low GWP refrigerants and expects to continue R-410A sales into early 2025. Lennox also anticipates revenue growth in 2025, driven by this transition and operational efficiencies. However, it acknowledges potential challenges, including manufacturing capacity limitations in the commercial segment and pressures from investments and rising costs impacting margins.

InvestingPro Insights

Lennox International's recent performance aligns with several key metrics and insights from InvestingPro. The company's strong financial position is reflected in its market cap of $21.18 billion and a robust revenue of $5.15 billion over the last twelve months as of Q3 2024. This solid foundation supports RBC Capital's maintained Sector Perform rating and increased price target.

InvestingPro Tips highlight Lennox's financial strength and market position. The company has raised its dividend for 14 consecutive years and maintained payments for 26 years, demonstrating a commitment to shareholder value. This aligns with the company's strategic moves and capacity expansion mentioned in the article. Additionally, Lennox operates with a moderate level of debt, which provides flexibility for future investments in areas like R-454B systems production.

The company's profitability is underscored by its strong return over the last year and decade, as noted in the InvestingPro Tips. This performance is further supported by the revenue growth of 4.68% over the last twelve months and a significant EBITDA growth of 19.86% in the same period.

Investors should note that Lennox is trading near its 52-week high, with a price that is 97.18% of its 52-week high. This reflects the market's positive sentiment towards the company's strategic initiatives and industry positioning discussed in the article.

For readers interested in a deeper analysis, InvestingPro offers 16 additional tips for Lennox International, providing a comprehensive view of the company's financial health and market position.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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