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Leerink lowers Danaher stock target amid life sciences uncertainties but remains bullish

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 10/23/2024, 06:30 PM
DHR
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On Wednesday, Leerink Partners adjusted their price target for Danaher Corporation (NYSE:DHR), a global science and technology innovator, reducing it to $275 from the previous $280 while sustaining an Outperform rating on the stock. The adjustment follows Danaher's third-quarter earnings, which surpassed expectations in revenue, margins, and earnings per share, largely due to an advance in respiratory and COVID-19 testing demand.

The firm highlighted Danaher's leadership in the bioprocess tools market, a sector characterized by specialized, recurring revenue streams. Danaher's core biotechnology and bioprocessing business showed signs of recovery, with high single-digit quarter-over-quarter order growth and a book-to-bill ratio of approximately one. Despite the positive performance, Danaher's shares experienced a decline after the earnings report was released, which may be attributed to unresolved questions surrounding the company's life sciences and diagnostics businesses.

Concerns include the impact of China's macroeconomic conditions, volume-based pricing effects, and the recovery of instrumentation sales. These factors have led to increased scrutiny of Danaher's valuation, which is near its peak at approximately 25 times its estimated 2025 enterprise value to EBITDA, compared to its peers at around 20 times.

Leerink Partners expressed their continued bullish outlook for Danaher in the long term, citing the company's premier position as a high-quality, multiyear growth entity. Despite the challenges, the firm upholds its Outperform rating but has revised the price target to reflect the current market conditions and the ongoing headwinds from China and instrumentation sectors. The valuation multiple remains set at 26 times the projected 2025 enterprise value to EBITDA.

In other recent news, Danaher Corporation reported steady third-quarter earnings, with revenues of $5.8 billion and adjusted diluted net earnings per share of $1.71, mirroring the previous year's performance. The company saw a slight 0.5% core revenue growth, driven by the bioprocessing and diagnostics segments, despite some decreases in high-growth markets, especially in China. The diagnostics division, primarily via Cepheid, experienced significant growth, contributing to a gross profit margin of 58.7% and an adjusted operating profit margin of 27.5%.

These recent developments include maintaining full-year guidance, with a low single-digit decrease in core revenue anticipated and an adjusted operating profit margin of approximately 29% projected for 2024. The respiratory products of Cepheid's diagnostics division reached $425 million in Q3. Danaher is also expecting high single-digit growth in bioprocessing orders, with the market normalizing in developed regions.

The company's growth is primarily concentrated in the U.S., with expansion in hospital and near-point care settings. Despite softer market conditions in the Genomics segment, the launch of Rapid Genes might offer advantages. Finally, Danaher recently completed a buyback program and is actively but cautiously engaging in the M&A environment due to high valuations.

InvestingPro Insights

To complement Leerink Partners' analysis, recent data from InvestingPro offers additional context on Danaher's financial position and market performance. The company's market capitalization stands at $188.72 billion, reflecting its significant presence in the Life Sciences Tools & Services industry. Danaher's revenue for the last twelve months as of Q3 2024 reached $23.74 billion, with a notable revenue growth of 12.92% over the same period.

InvestingPro Tips highlight Danaher's financial strength and shareholder-friendly policies. The company has maintained dividend payments for 32 consecutive years, demonstrating a commitment to returning value to shareholders. Additionally, Danaher operates with a moderate level of debt, and its cash flows can sufficiently cover interest payments, indicating financial stability.

However, investors should note that Danaher is trading at a high earnings multiple, with a P/E ratio of 53.87. This aligns with Leerink Partners' observation about the company's peak valuation relative to peers. Despite this, Danaher's stock has shown strong performance, with a 28.58% total return over the past year.

For those seeking a deeper dive into Danaher's financials and market position, InvestingPro offers 16 additional tips, providing a comprehensive view of the company's prospects and potential challenges.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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