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KeyBanc cuts EOG Resources target with overweight rating

Published 10/16/2024, 10:20 PM
EOG
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KeyBanc Capital Markets adjusted its price target for EOG Resources (NYSE:EOG), a prominent player in the energy sector, reducing it to $150 from the previous target of $157. Despite the change, the firm maintained its Overweight rating on the company's shares. The adjustment comes as the market anticipates further details on EOG Resources' operations, particularly in the Utica Shale region.

The analyst from KeyBanc highlighted anticipation for updated well results from the Utica Shale, where EOG Resources has already reported 16 strong outcomes from four different pads within its operational area. The market is also expecting a comprehensive update on the company's resource potential, especially since preliminary delineation drilling has been conducted across four counties within the volatile oil window.

Another point of interest for investors and analysts alike is the pace of stock repurchases by EOG Resources in the third quarter of 2024. The company had previously averaged repurchases worth approximately $729 million per quarter in the first half of 2024. With EOG's shares closing at an average price of $126 in the third quarter, slightly below the second quarter's average of $128, there is speculation on whether the year-to-date trend of repurchases will continue, especially considering the recent sell-off in EOG shares and the broader downturn in the industry towards the end of the quarter.

KeyBanc also noted that their model updates include revised forecasts for oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids (NGL) prices. These revisions are integral to the firm's analysis and valuation of EOG Resources as they reflect the changing landscape of the energy market and the potential impact on the company's financial performance.

EOG Resources Inc (NYSE:EOG). reported a net cash gain of $61 million from the settlement of financial commodity derivative contracts for the third quarter of 2024. The company also announced an adjusted net income of $1.8 billion and a free cash flow of $1.4 billion. EOG Resources has increased its full-year 2024 total liquids production target by 11,800 barrels per day, expected to boost the forecasted free cash flow to $5.7 billion.

In terms of analyst outlooks, JPMorgan raised EOG Resources' stock target to $139 from $135, while Susquehanna increased its price target to $159 from $155. Both firms maintained a neutral stance on the company's stock.

EOG Resources successfully tested the Beehive prospect in Australia and entered a joint venture with BP (NYSE:BP) to develop the Coconut gas field. The company also highlighted its exploration prospects both domestically and internationally, focusing on its core areas of expertise in shale/unconventional exploration and offshore exploration in shallow waters.

InvestingPro Insights

To complement KeyBanc's analysis, recent data from InvestingPro sheds additional light on EOG Resources' financial position and market performance. The company's P/E ratio stands at 9.83, indicating that it may be undervalued relative to its earnings. This aligns with KeyBanc's Overweight rating, suggesting potential upside for investors.

EOG's dividend yield of 4.04% is noteworthy, especially considering the company has maintained dividend payments for 35 consecutive years, as highlighted by an InvestingPro Tip. This consistent dividend history could be attractive to income-focused investors, particularly in the current economic climate.

Another InvestingPro Tip reveals that EOG holds more cash than debt on its balance sheet, which is a positive indicator of financial health. This strong financial position could support the company's ongoing stock repurchase program and potential investments in areas like the Utica Shale, which KeyBanc emphasized in their analysis.

For investors seeking a more comprehensive analysis, InvestingPro offers 7 additional tips on EOG Resources, providing a deeper understanding of the company's financial strengths and market position.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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