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Keefe Bruyette maintains outperform on Mercantile Bank, $50 target

Published 10/16/2024, 03:18 AM
MBWM
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On Tuesday, Keefe, Bruyette & Woods maintained their Outperform rating on Mercantile Bank (NASDAQ:MBWM) Corporation (NASDAQ:MBWM) with a steady price target of $50.00. The firm's analysis follows Mercantile Bank's recent earnings report, which exceeded expectations with a profit of $1.22 per share, surpassing the estimate by $0.10. The strong performance was primarily attributed to a robust net interest income (NII) and a reduced provision for credit losses, which balanced out an increase in expenses.

Despite a quarterly decrease in margin by 11 basis points, which was slightly more than anticipated, Mercantile Bank experienced significant deposit growth, up 30% from the last quarter on an annualized basis. This growth led to an expansion of the bank's balance sheet, contributing to the higher NII. Additionally, the bank reported a solid 10% increase in loan growth on a last quarter annualized basis, although this was coupled with higher compensation costs that resulted in elevated expenses.

Keefe, Bruyette & Woods have adjusted their earnings estimates for 2025 and 2026 downwards by $0.05 per share for each year. This revision takes into account the modest increase in expected expenses, which is somewhat mitigated by a more favorable NII outlook. The larger balance sheet is anticipated to help alleviate some of the pressure on margins in the context of the current lower-rate environment.

The analyst's comments reflect a positive view of Mercantile Bank's ability to manage its balance sheet effectively and generate growth despite the challenges posed by the interest rate landscape. Mercantile Bank's recent financial results and the subsequent affirmation of its Outperform rating by Keefe, Bruyette & Woods indicate a solid financial position as the bank navigates through economic fluctuations.

In other recent news, Mercantile Bank Corporation reported a Q3 net income of $19.6 million, a decrease from the $20.9 million recorded in the same period last year. The bank's loan-to-deposit ratio improved to 102% from 110% at the end of 2023, supported by a local deposit increase of approximately $600 million. The bank also witnessed a surge in mortgage banking income by 49%, and a total non-interest income rise by 27%.

These recent developments also include a commercial loan growth of $233 million in the first three quarters. Mercantile Bank anticipates a loan growth between 4% to 6% and projects a net interest margin of 3.35% to 3.45% in the upcoming period.

Despite a slight deterioration in the automotive risk profile and increased noninterest expenses, the bank maintains strong asset quality. The total risk-based capital ratio stands at $13.9 million, significantly above regulatory requirements. The bank also plans to reduce its reliance on wholesale funding as deposit growth continues to increase.

InvestingPro Insights

To complement the analysis provided by Keefe, Bruyette & Woods, recent data from InvestingPro offers additional context on Mercantile Bank Corporation's (NASDAQ:MBWM) financial health and market performance. The company's P/E ratio stands at 8.93, suggesting that the stock may be undervalued relative to its earnings. This could align with the Outperform rating and the $50.00 price target set by analysts, which is higher than the current trading price.

InvestingPro Tips highlight that Mercantile Bank has raised its dividend for 4 consecutive years and has maintained dividend payments for 13 consecutive years. This consistent dividend policy may be particularly attractive to income-focused investors in the current economic environment. Additionally, the company's profitability over the last twelve months, as noted by InvestingPro, supports the strong earnings report mentioned in the article.

It's worth noting that InvestingPro offers 7 additional tips for Mercantile Bank, providing investors with a more comprehensive analysis of the company's prospects.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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