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JPMorgan sees near-term overhangs keeping Centuri Holdings stock under pressure

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 10/07/2024, 05:20 PM
CTRI
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On Monday, JPMorgan has revised its stance on Centuri Holdings Inc (NYSE:CTRI), downgrading the company's stock from a Neutral to an Underweight rating and reducing the price target to $16 from the previous $19. The adjustment follows the firm's reassessment of the near-term challenges that may weigh on the stock.

The financial institution cited several immediate concerns that could pressure Centuri Holdings. These include a shift by utilities towards higher-value investments in 2024, which may sideline Centuri's primary market focus.

Additionally, the firm noted the presence of rate cases and policy uncertainties within some of Centuri's key markets, which may not see resolution until after the November elections.

Another factor contributing to the cautious outlook is the uncertainty surrounding the appointment of a new CEO and the timeline for Southwest Gas (NYSE:SWX) to divest its approximately 81% ownership stake in Centuri Holdings. These elements combined have led to a less favorable short-term perspective on the company's stock performance.

JPMorgan's analyst emphasized the long-term positive structural context of an aging US distribution grid and the ongoing energy transition. However, the firm believes that the mentioned near-term headwinds are significant enough to warrant a more conservative approach to Centuri Holdings' stock for the time being.

Investors are being alerted to these updates as they may influence the stock's performance in the market. The new price target of $16 reflects JPMorgan's adjusted expectations for Centuri Holdings' future financial prospects.

In other recent news, Centuri Holdings, Inc. has seen significant changes in its earnings and revenue figures, as well as stock ratings by various analyst firms. The company announced the appointment of Dylan Hradek as President of US Gas and Jim Connell as Executive Vice President, Chief Commercial & Strategy Officer, aiming to bolster its commercial strategy and growth.

However, Centuri's inaugural post-IPO earnings release did not meet expectations due to reduced utility spending and unexpected leadership changes, leading Baird to adjust its price target on Centuri to $19.00 while maintaining an Outperform rating.

UBS downgraded Centuri's stock from Buy to Neutral, lowering the price target to $17.00, following three consecutive quarters of missed earnings expectations and revised its earnings forecast for Centuri to $293 million.

Wells Fargo reported a revenue decline of 16.6% for Centuri, attributing this to factors such as a natural gas bid project shortfall and reduced volume from existing Master Service Agreements. The company's revenue guidance for the year has been set at $2.5 to $2.7 billion, lower than the previous estimate of $2.9 billion.

BofA Securities downgraded Centuri's stock rating from Neutral to Underperform, following the announcement of CEO Bill Fehrman's departure. Wells Fargo initiated coverage on Centuri, assigning an Overweight rating and setting a price target of $29.00. KeyBanc also initiated coverage on Centuri with a Sector Weight rating. These are the recent developments concerning Centuri Holdings Inc.

InvestingPro Insights

The recent downgrade by JPMorgan aligns with several InvestingPro metrics and tips for Centuri Holdings Inc (NYSE:CTRI). InvestingPro data shows that CTRI's stock price has fallen significantly over the last three months, with a 18.85% decline, and has taken an even bigger hit over the last six months, dropping 31.13%. This trend supports JPMorgan's more cautious stance on the company.

An InvestingPro Tip indicates that 4 analysts have revised their earnings downwards for the upcoming period, which corresponds with JPMorgan's concerns about near-term challenges. Additionally, analysts anticipate a sales decline in the current year, further reinforcing the bearish outlook.

Despite these challenges, InvestingPro Tips also reveal that net income is expected to grow this year, and analysts predict the company will be profitable. This suggests that while short-term headwinds exist, there may be potential for recovery in line with JPMorgan's acknowledgment of long-term positive structural factors.

For investors seeking a more comprehensive analysis, InvestingPro offers 6 additional tips for CTRI, providing a deeper understanding of the company's financial health and market position.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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